La Liga 2 · Today · 19:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
Mallorca are slight favourites at 2.72 (about 37% implied) versus Granada CF at 2.87 (about 35%), a very narrow price gap.
The draw is priced at 3.13, implying roughly a 32% chance, underlining how tightly the market rates this fixture.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.3 carries an implied confidence near 42% but a negative value edge of -3.92%.
No selections cleared the value threshold against market consensus, suggesting limited standout edges in this matchup.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · GC | X | 2 · MAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.58 |
| Matchbook | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.58 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18 | 3.09 | 2.53 |
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Coolbet | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05 | 2.98 | 2.48 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Granada CF host Mallorca in this La Liga 2 fixture, and the market frames it as a genuinely tight contest. Mallorca are the marginal favourites at 2.72 with Pinnacle, translating to roughly a 37% implied chance, while Granada CF are priced at 2.87, or about 35%. The draw sits at 3.13 with 1xBet, an implied likelihood near 32%. Once the overround is accounted for, these numbers point to a close-to-even matchup with the visitors holding only the slightest edge in the eyes of the bookmakers. Our model's attention turns to the goals market rather than the outcome: the recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 2.3 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 42%. Note, though, that the calculated value edge here is negative at -3.92%, so this is flagged more as a lean than a strong-value play in an evenly balanced tie.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 2.3, reflecting around 42% model confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -3.92%, so this is a modest angle rather than a strong-value bet in a closely priced fixture. Stake responsibly and treat it as optional.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 17:00 | Celta Fortuna v Andorra CF | 3.95 | 2.97 | 2.42 |
| 28 Aug 19:00 | Tenerife v Sporting Gijón | 2.23 | 3.33 | 3.45 |
| 29 Aug 15:00 | Sabadell FC v Almería | 2.83 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| 29 Aug 17:00 | Leganés v CD Eldense | 2.25 | 3.44 | 3.30 |
| 29 Aug 17:00 | Albacete v Oviedo | 2.45 | 3.23 | 3.09 |
| 29 Aug 19:30 | Girona FC v Las Palmas | 1.73 | 3.81 | 4.99 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Andorra CF v SD Eibar | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| 30 Aug 17:00 | Cádiz CF v Real Valladolid CF | 2.36 | 3.06 | 3.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.48, with a 40% confidence rating.
Mallorca are the narrow favourites at 2.72 with Pinnacle, implying about a 37% chance. Granada CF are close behind at 2.87, around 35%, so the market sees a very even contest.
The draw is available at 3.13 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 32% likelihood. That relatively short draw price reflects how tightly matched the two sides are on the odds.
No selection cleared our value threshold against market consensus. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.3 actually shows a negative edge of -3.92%, so it is a lean rather than a clear value play.
Granada CF vs Mallorca takes place Today · 19:30 in the La Liga 2.
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