League One · Tue · 18:45 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Oct 13, 2026 · how we work
Sheffield Wednesday (2.6) and Notts County (2.55) are priced within 0.05 of each other, showing the bookmaker sees a near-even contest
The draw at 3.45 implies just under 29% probability, the lowest of the three outcomes but still a meaningful share of the market
No 1X2 selection meets our value-edge threshold, meaning the win market offers no clear edge over the bookmaker's pricing
The Over 2.5 Goals recommendation carries a 55% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -7.97%, indicating the model's own fair price is slightly less favourable than the market odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · NC | X | 2 · SW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Notts County host Sheffield Wednesday in a League One meeting where the bookmakers see almost nothing between the two sides. Sheffield Wednesday are priced marginally shorter at 2.6, with Notts County close behind at 2.55, meaning the market splits the win probability at roughly 38-39% for each team. The draw sits at 3.45, implying a shade under 29%, which keeps this firmly in open-contest territory rather than a clear favourite situation. With the match-result market offering little separation, our model instead points to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67, a price that implies a 55% chance of the game producing three or more goals. No side of the 1X2 market clears our value threshold, so this preview leans on the goal-line angle as the more actionable area of the odds board for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday.
Verdict: The recommended Over 2.5 Goals pick at 1.67 reflects a reasonably balanced 55% implied chance, but the negative value edge means it is not flagged as a strong market mismatch. Treat it as a moderate-confidence, moderate-risk selection rather than a standout opportunity, and size any stake with normal bankroll discipline.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 19:00 | Mansfield Town v Oxford United | 2.40 | 3.69 | 3.10 |
| 17 Oct 11:30 | Peterborough United v Burton Albion | 1.93 | 4.18 | 3.85 |
| 17 Oct 11:30 | Milton Keynes Dons v Luton | 3.15 | 4.08 | 2.20 |
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Bradford City v Stevenage | 2.00 | 3.40 | 4.05 |
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Leicester City v Doncaster Rovers | 1.95 | 4.12 | 3.80 |
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Barnsley v Cambridge United | 2.52 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Sheffield Wednesday v Wimbledon | 1.68 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Wigan Athletic v Reading | 3.55 | 3.63 | 2.07 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.67, with a 55% confidence rating.
Neither side is a clear favourite; Sheffield Wednesday are priced marginally shorter at 2.6 against Notts County's 2.55, putting both implied probabilities around 38-39%.
The draw is available at 3.45, which implies a probability of just under 29% for the match to finish level.
No selection in the 1X2 market clears our value threshold. The model's featured pick is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67 with 55% implied confidence, though it carries a negative value edge of -7.97%, so it should be viewed as moderate risk rather than a clear-cut value bet.
Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday takes place Tue · 18:45 in the League One.
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