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አማርኛ ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.71
LostResult
3-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
64%Pre-match conf.
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Molde are favourites at 2.26 (about 44% implied), but the modest gap to Tromso at 3.07 (about 33%) points to a reasonably open contest.
02
The draw is priced at 3.65 with Nordic Bet, implying roughly 27%, a fairly standard reading for a game without a dominant favourite.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.78 reflects a market-implied confidence near 54%, tilting slightly towards an open, goal-friendly match.
04
The value edge on that goals bet is negative at -4.51%, so the current price is marginally shorter than our model's fair estimate.
Team form
MOL Molde WL
16 Aug 26 vs Tromso 3-2
9 Aug 26 @ Kristiansund BK 1-2
TRO Tromso L
16 Aug 26 @ Molde 2-3
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Head-to-head: Molde v Tromso
W 16 Aug 26
Molde 3-2 TromsoEliteserien
W/D/L shown from Molde's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Molde vs Tromso: pre-match preview
Molde host Tromso in this Eliteserien fixture, and the market leans clearly towards the home side. Molde are priced at 2.26 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 44%, marking them as favourites without being overwhelming ones. Tromso are rated a live outsider at 3.07 (around 33% implied), while the draw sits at 3.65 with Nordic Bet, close to 27% in probability terms once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. Those relatively compact prices suggest the market sees a competitive contest rather than a mismatch. Our model's attention here is not on the match result but on goals: it flags Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 54%. Note, though, that this comes with a negative value edge of -4.51%, meaning the price offered is slightly shorter than our model believes it should be.
Verdict: The lean is towards Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, backed by roughly 54% implied confidence in an open game. Be aware the value edge is negative at -4.51%, so the price is slightly unfavourable. Treat this as a modest-conviction pick and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Vålerenga v Molde | 2.82 | 4.08 | 2.48 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Viking FK v Aalesund | 1.29 | 6.50 | 9.66 |
| 30 Aug 12:30 | Bodø/Glimt v Rosenborg | 1.36 | 5.80 | 8.60 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Sandefjord v SK Brann | 3.28 | 3.87 | 2.19 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | Tromso v Sarpsborg FK | 1.68 | 4.29 | 5.09 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | HamKam v Kristiansund BK | 1.95 | 3.93 | 4.20 |
| 30 Aug 15:00 | IK Start v KFUM | 2.43 | 3.76 | 3.20 |
| 30 Aug 17:15 | Lillestrom v Fredrikstad FK | 1.73 | 4.19 | 5.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Molde vs Tromso?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.71.
Who is the favourite for Molde vs Tromso?+
Molde are the favourites at 2.26, implying about a 44% chance. Tromso are the outsiders at 3.07, roughly 33% implied.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.65 with Nordic Bet, which equates to an implied probability of around 27%.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.78 actually carries a negative value edge of -4.51%, so the price is slightly shorter than our model's fair estimate.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).