English ⚽ Bundesliga 🕒 19 Sept 2026
Our tip
Augsburg to win
Odds
2.92
LostResult
3-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
37%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Werder Bremen is favoured at 2.36, implying about 42% winning probability, the shortest price among the three outcomes.
02
Augsburg's 3.1 price implies roughly 32% probability, but the model's fair estimate of 34% creates a positive value edge of 4.42%.
03
The draw at 3.94 implies about 25% probability, the least likely outcome according to the market.
04
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.55 carries a 62% model confidence, though its calculated edge is slightly negative at -4.03%, indicating the price offers limited extra value despite reasonable confidence.
Team form
WB Werder Bremen WDWLL
19 Sept 26 vs Augsburg 3-2
12 Sept 26 @ 1. FC Köln 1-1
5 Sept 26 vs RB Leipzig 3-1
30 Aug 26 @ Freiburg 1-4
16 May 26 vs Dortmund 0-2
AUG Augsburg LDWWL
19 Sept 26 @ Bremen 2-3
12 Sept 26 vs Leverkusen 2-2
6 Sept 26 @ Frankfurt 4-1
30 Aug 26 vs Schalke 3-0
16 May 26 @ Union Berlin 0-4
Head-to-head: Werder Bremen v Augsburg
Full H2H history → W 19 Sept 26
Bremen 3-2 AugsburgBundesliga
L 2 May 26
Bremen 1-3 AugsburgBundesliga
D 20 Dec 25
Augsburg 0-0 BremenBundesliga
W/D/L shown from Werder Bremen's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Werder Bremen vs Augsburg: pre-match preview
Bundesliga action brings Werder Bremen and Augsburg together in a fixture where the betting market leans toward the home side. Werder Bremen is priced at 2.36 for the win, translating to an implied probability of around 42%, while Augsburg sits at 3.1, implying roughly 32% chance of victory. The draw is offered at 3.94, or about 25% implied probability, suggesting bookmakers see a moderate but not overwhelming edge for the hosts. Rather than focusing purely on the match result, our model highlights the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.55, which reflects an implied probability near 64.5% against a modelled confidence of 62%. Separately, Augsburg's price of 3.1 shows a fair probability estimate of 34%, producing a positive value edge of 4.42% compared to the market's implied 32%. Together these figures paint a competitive matchup with value scattered across both markets.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals selection at 1.55 reflects solid model confidence of 62%, but the negative edge of -4.03% suggests the price doesn't offer a clear market advantage. It's a reasonable, moderate-risk option rather than a standout value bet, so measured staking is advisable.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Bundesliga fixtures
All Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:30 | SC Paderborn v TSG Hoffenheim | 1.81 | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| 9 Oct 18:30 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | 1.40 | 5.80 | 7.90 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Augsburg v Bayern Munich | 11.50 | 8.25 | 1.24 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Union Berlin v Elversberg | 2.37 | 3.88 | 2.97 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3.15 | 3.96 | 2.35 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart | 4.90 | 4.72 | 1.68 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.58 | 5.08 | 5.34 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Bundesliga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | HSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Werder Bremen vs Augsburg?+
Our tip was Augsburg to win at odds of 2.92.
Who is the favourite in the Werder Bremen vs Augsburg match?+
Werder Bremen is the favourite based on the odds, priced at 2.36 which implies roughly a 42% winning probability, compared to Augsburg's 32% implied chance at 3.1.
What are the odds for a draw between Werder Bremen and Augsburg?+
The draw is priced at 3.94, which implies an approximate 25% probability, making it the least likely outcome among the three according to the market.
Is there value in betting on this Bundesliga fixture?+
According to the data, Augsburg's price of 3.1 shows a positive value edge of 4.42% versus its fair probability of 34%, while the recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.55 has a slightly negative edge of -4.03% despite 62% model confidence.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).