English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Botafogo to win
Odds
2.97
LostResult
1-0Final score
-1.00uProfit
35%Pre-match conf.
-5.71%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Vitoria are the market favourite at 2.45 (about 41% implied), narrowly ahead of Botafogo at 3.04 (about 33%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.4, roughly 29% implied, reflecting how close the market sees this contest.
03
The Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.03 sits near a coin-flip in confidence terms, about 47%.
04
No selection cleared our value threshold, and the recommended Over 2.5 carries a negative edge of -4.04%.
Team form
VIT Vitoria DWLLW
13 Sept 26 @ Mirassol 2-2
7 Sept 26 vs Grêmio 1-0
29 Aug 26 @ Mineiro 1-2
23 Aug 26 vs Bahia 0-2
16 Aug 26 vs Botafogo 1-0
BOT Botafogo LWDDL
19 Sept 26 @ Mirassol 0-2
16 Sept 26 vs Grêmio 3-2
12 Sept 26 vs Bragantino 1-1
6 Sept 26 vs Palmeiras 0-0
30 Aug 26 @ Flamengo 0-3
Head-to-head: Vitoria v Botafogo
Full H2H history → W 16 Aug 26
Vitória 1-0 BotafogoBrasileirão
D 23 Jul 26
Botafogo 0-0 VitóriaBrasileirão
D 9 Nov 25
Vitória 0-0 BotafogoBrasileirão
D 17 Jul 25
Botafogo 0-0 VitóriaBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Vitoria's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Vitoria vs Botafogo: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão clash between Vitoria and Botafogo is a tight one on paper, with the home side edging the market's favour. Vitoria are priced at 2.45 with Coolbet, translating to an implied probability of roughly 41%, while Botafogo sit as slight underdogs at 3.04 with 1xBet, around 33% in probability terms. The draw is available at 3.4 with Coolbet, worth about 29% implied. Those numbers describe a genuinely competitive fixture rather than a clear-cut mismatch, with the margins between all three outcomes fairly narrow. Our model does not lean on the match result here; instead it flags Over 2.5 goals at 2.03 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 47%. Notably, that pick shows a negative value edge of -4.04%, meaning it currently prices below fair value on our numbers, so it is a preference rather than a strong recommendation.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 2.03, near an even-money proposition with about 47% implied confidence. Be aware it shows a negative value edge of -4.04%, so it is a modest preference rather than a strong play. Stake responsibly and only within a comfortable bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Vitoria vs Botafogo?+
Our tip was Botafogo to win at odds of 2.97.
Who is the favourite in Vitoria vs Botafogo?+
Vitoria are the narrow favourite at 2.45 with Coolbet, implying about 41% probability, ahead of Botafogo at 3.04 (around 33%).
What are the odds for a draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 29% chance and underlines how close the market rates this fixture.
Is there any value in this match?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.03 actually shows a negative edge of -4.04%, so it is a preference rather than a value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).