Liga Profesional · Tomorrow · 22:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Union Santa Fe are the market favourites at 2.31, implying roughly a 43% win chance, ahead of Lanus at 3.7 (about 27%).
The draw is priced at 2.98, an implied probability near 34%, keeping a share of the outcome firmly in contention.
The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.59 carries around 60% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -5.16%, so it is not priced generously.
No value picks cleared our threshold for this fixture, suggesting the market is broadly efficient here.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lanus | 3.65 | Unibet (SE) | 27.4% |
| Union Santa Fe | 2.40 | BetOnline.ag | 41.7% |
| Draw | 3.09 | Pinnacle | 32.4% |
Union Santa Fe host Lanus in this Liga Profesional fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Union are priced at 2.31 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 43%, making them the home favourites. Lanus are the outsiders at 3.7 with Betsson, implying about a 27% chance, while the draw sits in between at 2.98 (around 34%). Those figures paint a picture of a game the bookmakers expect the hosts to shade rather than dominate, with a stalemate very much in play. Our model does not focus on the match result here; instead it points to Over 1.5 goals at 1.59, carrying a market-implied confidence near 60%. It is worth noting that this selection shows a negative value edge of about -5.16%, meaning the price offers no clear advantage over the market. Approach it as an informed lean rather than a standout opportunity.
Verdict: The lean is Over 1.5 goals at 1.59, backed by roughly 60% implied confidence. However, the negative value edge means the price offers no real advantage over the market, so treat it as a modest-risk pick rather than a strong one and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Estudiantes | 2.16 | 3.10 | 4.34 |
| 6 Aug 00:15 | CA Tigre BA v Belgrano de Cordoba | 2.66 | 2.92 | 3.40 |
| 7 Aug 22:30 | Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata | 1.55 | 3.90 | 8.60 |
| 8 Aug 00:45 | Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.56 | 4.02 | 7.80 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.83 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes | 3.40 | 2.72 | 2.62 |
| 8 Aug 20:00 | CA Tigre BA v River Plate | 3.42 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
| 8 Aug 22:15 | Boca Juniors v Velez Sarsfield BA | 1.82 | 3.25 | 5.29 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.53, with a 62% confidence rating.
Union Santa Fe are the favourites at 2.31 with 1xBet, an implied probability of about 43%. Lanus are the outsiders at 3.7 with Betsson, around 27%.
The draw is priced at 2.98 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 34% chance of the game ending level.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.59 actually shows a negative edge of -5.16%, meaning the market price offers no clear advantage.
Union Santa Fe vs Lanus takes place Tomorrow · 22:00 in the Liga Profesional.
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