Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Union Berlin at 2.46 (about 41% implied) are the modest favourites over Eintracht Frankfurt at 2.97 (about 34%).
The small price gap between the two sides points to a closely matched contest in the eyes of the market.
The draw at 3.75 implies roughly 27%, a fairly typical figure that leaves both teams as realistic winners.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 has an implied confidence near 55% but a value edge of -1.41%, meaning it offers no clear pricing advantage.
Team form
Head-to-head: Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Union Berlin's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt: pre-match preview
This Bundesliga meeting between Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt arrives with the home side as the narrow market favourite. Union Berlin are priced at 2.46, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 41%, while Eintracht Frankfurt at 2.97 sit closer to 34%. The draw, offered at 3.75, works out at about 27%, so the market sees this as a genuinely competitive fixture rather than a one-sided affair. The gap between the two sides is slim, reflecting a contest the bookmakers expect to be tight. Our model steps away from the match-result market and instead looks toward goals, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.78. That price carries an implied confidence of around 55%, suggesting the game leans marginally toward an open, higher-scoring pattern. It is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Verdict: The pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, backing an open game rather than a specific winner. With a slightly negative value edge, this is a moderate-risk lean rather than a strong-value play. Treat it accordingly and stake within a sensible bankroll. Outcomes remain uncertain.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Bundesliga fixtures
All Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:30 | SC Paderborn v TSG Hoffenheim | 1.81 | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| 9 Oct 18:30 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | 1.40 | 5.80 | 7.90 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Augsburg v Bayern Munich | 11.50 | 8.25 | 1.24 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Union Berlin v Elversberg | 2.37 | 3.88 | 2.97 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3.15 | 3.96 | 2.35 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart | 4.90 | 4.72 | 1.68 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.58 | 5.08 | 5.34 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Bundesliga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | HSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.78.
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).