English ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 20 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.96
LostResult
3-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
55%Pre-match conf.
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Tromso are priced at 1.56 for the win, implying about 64 percent probability and reflecting a clear market-favourite status.
02
HamKam's 5.83 price implies roughly 17 percent, the lowest of the three outcomes on offer.
03
The draw at 4.47 implies around 22 percent, a moderate figure consistent with a lopsided match-result market.
04
The recommended Under 2.5 goals bet at 2.24 carries a -4.66 percent value edge, meaning it does not currently represent a clear market inefficiency.
Team form
TRO Tromso WLLDL
20 Sept 26 vs HamKam 3-2
12 Sept 26 @ Rosenborg 3-5
6 Sept 26 @ Kristiansund BK 0-2
30 Aug 26 vs Sarpsborg FK 0-0
16 Aug 26 @ Molde 2-3
HAM HamKam LLLDL
20 Sept 26 @ Tromso 2-3
13 Sept 26 vs Molde 1-5
5 Sept 26 @ Rosenborg 0-4
30 Aug 26 vs Kristiansund BK 2-2
16 Aug 26 @ SK Brann 0-3
Head-to-head: Tromso v HamKam
W 20 Sept 26
Tromso 3-2 HamKamEliteserien
W/D/L shown from Tromso's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Tromso vs HamKam: pre-match preview
Tromso host HamKam in an Eliteserien clash where the market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Best odds of 1.56 on a Tromso win imply a win probability of roughly 64 percent, making the home side clear favourites, while HamKam's 5.83 price points to just under 17 percent. The draw, at 4.47, sits at around 22 percent, a fairly standard spread for a fixture with a strong favourite. Away from the match-result market, our model turns to the goals total, flagging Under 2.5 goals at 2.24 as its recommended angle, with an implied confidence of 43 percent. That pick carries a negative value edge of -4.66 percent against the model's own pricing, so it is offered as a considered lean rather than a standout value opportunity. No side of the 1x2 market currently clears our value threshold.
Verdict: The data points to Tromso as the strong favourite, but the more interesting angle is the Under 2.5 goals pick at 2.24, carrying 43 percent implied confidence. Its negative value edge means it is not a clear market mispricing, so this should be treated as a moderate-conviction lean rather than a confident value bet. Stake accordingly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Tromso vs HamKam?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.96.
Who is favourite in the Tromso vs HamKam match?+
Tromso are the clear favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.56 for the win, which implies roughly a 64 percent chance of victory.
What is the draw priced at for this Eliteserien fixture?+
The best available draw price is 4.47, implying a probability of approximately 22 percent.
Is there a value bet for Tromso vs HamKam?+
No 1x2 selection currently clears the value threshold. The model's recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.24 with 43 percent implied confidence, though it carries a slightly negative value edge of -4.66 percent, so it should be viewed as a moderate lean rather than a strong value pick.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).