English ⚽ MLS 🕒 15 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
1.75
WonResult
2-1Final score
+0.75uProfit
55%Pre-match conf.
-0.57%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Toronto FC are narrow favourites at 2.46 (about 41% implied), just ahead of New England Revolution at 2.85 (about 35%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.75, roughly 27% implied, reflecting how tight the market rates this matchup.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.75 carries market-implied confidence around 55%.
04
The value edge on that Over pick is negative at -3.12%, meaning no selection cleared our value threshold.
Team form
TF Toronto FC LLWDW
20 Sept 26 @ St. Louis City SC 1-3
12 Sept 26 @ Orlando City SC 0-3
9 Sept 26 vs Nashville SC 2-1
5 Sept 26 vs Chicago Fire 4-4
22 Aug 26 @ Inter Miami CF 2-1
NER New England Revolution WWWLW
19 Sept 26 vs Orlando City SC 4-2
13 Sept 26 @ Chicago Fire 2-1
10 Sept 26 @ New York City FC 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ LA Galaxy 1-2
30 Aug 26 @ Columbus Crew SC 3-1
Head-to-head: Toronto FC v New England Revolution
W 15 Aug 26
Toronto FC 2-1 New England RevolutionMLS
W/D/L shown from Toronto FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution: pre-match preview
This MLS meeting between Toronto FC and New England Revolution is priced as a genuinely close contest, with the bookmakers leaning only slightly toward the hosts. Toronto FC are the marginal favourites at 2.46 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied win probability of roughly 41%. New England Revolution sit at 2.85, implying around 35%, while the draw is offered at 3.75 (Coolbet), or about 27% in probability terms. Those figures describe a match the market sees as difficult to call, with no dominant side. Rather than picking a winner, our model looks to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 (1xBet) with market-implied confidence near 55%. It is worth noting the value edge on that selection reads negative at -3.12%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price. Treat it as one angle on an evenly matched fixture and stake within your usual limits.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 1.75, expecting an open game, but the -3.12% edge signals no real price advantage. With both teams closely matched in the odds, this is a moderate-risk lean rather than a strong value play, so stake carefully.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.75 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 15 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 2-1
2.21 -1.00u V 15 Aug 26
Under 3.0 goalsfinal score 2-1
1.71 0.00u Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?+
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.75.
Who is the favourite in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?+
Toronto FC are the slight favourites at 2.46, implying roughly a 41% win probability, just ahead of New England Revolution at 2.85 (about 35%).
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.75 with Coolbet, which implies around a 27% chance of the match ending level.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.75 actually shows a negative edge of -3.12%, so it is a lean rather than a value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-1 (+0.75u at flat stakes).