La Liga 2 · Sat · 16:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Tenerife are strong market favourites at 1.82, implying roughly a 55% win probability.
Cádiz CF's 5.44 price implies only about an 18% chance of victory, a wide gap versus the hosts.
The draw at 3.71 implies close to 27% probability, keeping the stalemate outcome firmly live.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.25 carries a slightly negative value edge (-3.16%), so it is not flagged as a clear market inefficiency.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz CF to win | 5.50 | +19.2% | 22% | 66 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Bookmaker | 1 · TEN | X | 2 · CC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.63 | 5.00 |
| Coolbet | 1.72 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.50 | 5.20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71 | 3.52 | 4.85 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Tenerife host Cádiz CF in a La Liga 2 clash where the betting market leaves little doubt about the favourite. Tenerife are priced at 1.82 with Unibet, which implies a win probability of roughly 55%, a clear reflection of market confidence in the home side. Cádiz CF, by contrast, sit out at 5.44 with Pinnacle, translating to an implied chance of around 18%, while the draw is quoted at 3.71 with 1xBet, suggesting about 27% likelihood of a split points outcome. Rather than leaning on the match-result market, our model points toward the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 2.25 with Nordic Bet. That price implies a break-even probability near 44%, and the model's own confidence sits at 43%, with a value edge of -3.16%, meaning the numbers do not quite support this as a standout value play but it remains the most notable angle from the data.
Verdict: The data points to Tenerife as clear favourites, with the draw and an away win both live alternatives at longer odds. The model's Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.25 is the most relevant angle, though its negative value edge means it should be treated as a moderate-risk selection rather than a confident edge play.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Leganés v Granada CF | 2.20 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| 25 Sept 18:30 | Girona FC v Albacete | 1.58 | 4.54 | 5.75 |
| 26 Sept 12:00 | AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B | 2.30 | 3.67 | 3.05 |
| 26 Sept 14:15 | Granada CF v Andorra CF | 2.32 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Celta Fortuna v Sabadell FC | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.28 |
| 27 Sept 12:00 | Real Valladolid CF v Córdoba | 2.33 | 3.57 | 3.18 |
| 27 Sept 14:15 | Mallorca v Almería | 2.07 | 3.51 | 3.99 |
| 27 Sept 16:30 | Burgos CF v CD Eldense | 1.89 | 3.58 | 4.60 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.25, with a 43% confidence rating.
Tenerife are the clear market favourites at 1.82 with Unibet, implying about a 55% chance of winning, compared with Cádiz CF's 5.44 price implying roughly 18%.
The draw is available at 3.71 with 1xBet, which implies a probability of around 27%.
No clear value picks were identified above the site's threshold; the closest recommendation is Over 2.5 goals at 2.25 with Nordic Bet, though it carries a slightly negative value edge of -3.16% according to the model.
Tenerife vs Cádiz CF takes place Sat · 16:30 in the La Liga 2.
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