Liga Profesional · Wed · 00:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lanus | 3.46 | 1xBet | 28.9% |
| Talleres | 2.45 | 1xBet | 40.8% |
| Draw | 2.98 | Nordic Bet | 33.6% |
Talleres host Lanus in the Liga Profesional as narrow home favourites, at least according to the current market. The best available price of 2.44 on Talleres translates to an implied probability of roughly 41%, while Lanus at 3.46 sit closer to 29%. The draw is far from an afterthought here, priced at 2.82 or about 35% implied, underlining a matchup the bookmakers see as competitive rather than one-sided. With no result strongly favoured, the outcome market offers only a modest lean toward the hosts. Our model steps away from the straight result and instead looks at the goals market, recommending Under 1.5 goals at 2.25. That reflects a view that this could be a low-scoring, tight contest, though the market prices that outcome at around 42% and the value edge is slightly negative, so it is a call worth weighing carefully rather than a standout play.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 1.5 goals at 2.25, betting on a tight, low-scoring game between Talleres and Lanus. With market-implied confidence near 42% and a negative value edge of -5.14%, this is a speculative pick rather than a clear edge, so stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Estudiantes | 2.16 | 3.10 | 4.34 |
| 6 Aug 00:15 | CA Tigre BA v Belgrano de Cordoba | 2.66 | 2.92 | 3.40 |
| 6 Aug 22:00 | Union Santa Fe v Lanus | 2.40 | 3.09 | 3.65 |
| 7 Aug 22:30 | Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata | 1.55 | 3.90 | 8.60 |
| 8 Aug 00:45 | Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.56 | 4.02 | 7.80 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.83 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes | 3.40 | 2.72 | 2.62 |
| 8 Aug 20:00 | CA Tigre BA v River Plate | 3.42 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 1.5 goals at odds of 2.25, with a 42% confidence rating.
Talleres are the market favourites at 2.44, implying roughly a 41% chance. Lanus are priced at 3.46, around 29% implied, so the hosts are only modestly preferred.
The draw is available at 2.82, which implies about a 35% probability. That is a significant share, reflecting a fixture the market sees as closely matched.
Not according to our model. No value picks cleared the threshold, and the recommended Under 1.5 goals bet carries a negative value edge of -5.14%, so any bet here should be considered carefully.
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Talleres vs Lanus takes place Wed · 00:00 in the Liga Profesional.
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