English ⚽ Scottish Premiership 🕒 19 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.0 goals
Odds
1.82
VoidResult
0-3Final score
0.00uProfit
54%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
St Mirren are priced as favourites at 2.35, implying roughly 42.6% win probability, compared with Dundee United's 34.5% at 2.9.
02
The draw at 3.69 implies about 27.1%, keeping the outcome market fairly balanced overall.
03
The recommended Under 3.0 goals bet at 1.82 carries a market-implied confidence of 54% and a value edge of 19.83%, the standout figure in this data set.
04
No match-result selection in this fixture cleared the value threshold, so the highlighted angle sits in the goals market rather than the win/draw/win market.
Team form
SM St Mirren LLLWD
19 Sept 26 vs Dundee United 0-3
9 Sept 26 @ Rangers 0-1
5 Sept 26 vs Celtic 1-2
2 Sept 26 @ Kilmarnock 1-0
30 Aug 26 vs Motherwell 3-3
DU Dundee United WDLLL
19 Sept 26 @ St Mirren 3-0
5 Sept 26 vs Falkirk F.C. 1-1
2 Sept 26 @ Motherwell 0-3
22 Aug 26 vs Dundee FC 0-2
9 Aug 26 @ Hearts 0-4
Head-to-head: St Mirren v Dundee United
L 19 Sept 26
St Mirren 0-3 Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership
W/D/L shown from St Mirren's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
St Mirren vs Dundee United: pre-match preview
St Mirren host Dundee United in a Scottish Premiership fixture where the betting market leans toward the home side without making them a heavy favourite. Pinnacle's 2.35 on St Mirren translates to an implied probability of roughly 42.6%, ahead of Dundee United's 2.9 (about 34.5%) and the draw at 3.69 (around 27.1%). Those numbers point to a fairly competitive match rather than a one-sided affair, with only a modest gap separating the two teams' chances. Rather than backing a match-result outcome, our model's recommended angle looks at the total goals market, favouring Under 3.0 goals at 1.82 with the bookmaker's own pricing suggesting a 54% chance of that scoreline range, and a calculated value edge of nearly 20% against the market consensus. That combination of a tight match-result market and a goals-total lean shapes the framing for this Premiership clash.
Verdict: The data favours a cautious approach: St Mirren hold a moderate market edge at home, but the clearer statistical opportunity is the Under 3.0 goals line at 1.82, backed by a 54% implied confidence and a sizeable value edge. It is not a certainty, so stake sensibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided — the match finished 0-3, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 19 Sept 26
Under 2.75 goalsfinal score 0-3
2.04 -1.00u Match FAQ
What was our prediction for St Mirren vs Dundee United?+
Our tip was Under 3.0 goals at odds of 1.82.
Who are the favourites in the St Mirren vs Dundee United match?+
St Mirren are the market favourites at odds of 2.35, implying roughly a 42.6% chance of winning, compared with Dundee United's 34.5% implied probability at 2.9.
What is the draw priced at for this Scottish Premiership fixture?+
The draw is priced at 3.69 with Pinnacle, which implies an approximate 27.1% probability, keeping the match-result market fairly tight between all three outcomes.
Is there value in this fixture according to the data?+
Yes, but not in the match-result market. The standout value pick is Under 3.0 goals at 1.82, carrying a 54% implied confidence and a 19.83% value edge versus market consensus.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided — final score 0-3 (0.00u at flat stakes).