English ⚽ MLS 🕒 2 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 3.0 goals
Odds
1.91
LostResult
0-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
50%Pre-match conf.
-4.98%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Houston Dynamo are favourites at 2.2 (about 45% implied), ahead of Sporting Kansas City at 3.41 (about 29%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.95, or roughly 25% implied probability, a realistic outcome given the modest gap between the sides.
03
The recommended Over 3.0 goals at 1.91 sits near a coin-flip, with market-implied confidence around 50%.
04
The value edge on the recommended bet is negative at minus 4.0%, so there is no pricing advantage flagged here.
Team form
SKC Sporting Kansas City LWLLD
20 Sept 26 vs Philadelphia Union 3-4
13 Sept 26 vs Los Angeles FC 3-1
6 Sept 26 @ FC Dallas 3-4
23 Aug 26 @ Atlanta United FC 1-2
20 Aug 26 vs St. Louis City SC 1-1
HD Houston Dynamo DLWDL
20 Sept 26 vs FC Cincinnati 2-2
13 Sept 26 @ San Jose Earthquakes 0-1
10 Sept 26 vs Real Salt Lake 2-1
5 Sept 26 @ Charlotte FC 0-0
23 Aug 26 @ St. Louis City SC 1-2
Head-to-head: Sporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo
L 2 Aug 26
Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Houston DynamoMLS
W/D/L shown from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo: pre-match preview
This MLS meeting between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo sees the visitors installed as market favourites. Houston are priced at 2.2, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 45%, while Sporting Kansas City are the outsiders at 3.41, or about 29% implied. The draw sits at 3.95, worth around 25% in probability terms. That spread points to a game the market leans towards Houston, without treating it as a foregone conclusion, since neither side is a heavy favourite. Rather than backing the result, our model turns to the goals market. The recommended angle is Over 3.0 goals at 1.91, carrying a market-implied confidence around 50%. It is worth noting the value edge here reads at minus 4.0%, meaning the price offers no clear mathematical advantage over the market. Treat this preview as one input and manage your stakes sensibly.
Verdict: The model leans towards Over 3.0 goals at 1.91, effectively a coin-flip proposition at around 50% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at minus 4.0%, meaning no mathematical edge over the market. This is a marginal call, so keep stakes modest and bet within your means.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?+
Our tip was Over 3.0 goals at odds of 1.91.
Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?+
Houston Dynamo are the market favourites at 2.2, implying about a 45% chance. Sporting Kansas City are outsiders at 3.41, roughly 29% implied.
What are the odds on a draw?+
The draw is best priced at 3.95 with Nordic Bet, which equates to a market-implied probability of around 25%.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No value pick cleared our threshold here. The recommended Over 3.0 goals at 1.91 actually shows a negative value edge of minus 4.0%, so the market offers no clear advantage.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).