Belgian Pro League · Sat · 18:45 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Sint Truiden are strong favourites at 1.7, implying roughly a 59% chance, while Lommel SK at 5.55 sit near 18%.
The draw is priced at 4.14 with 1xBet, an implied probability of about 24%, a realistic outcome the odds do not dismiss.
Our model's recommended Under 2.5 goals at 2.0 carries a market-implied confidence of 49% but a small negative value edge of -2.3%.
On the winner market, Lommel SK show a modest positive edge of 3.31% at 5.55 against a fair probability estimate of 19%.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel SK | 5.70 | Betfair | 17.5% |
| Sint Truiden | 1.62 | Nordic Bet | 61.7% |
| Draw | 4.14 | 1xBet | 24.2% |
Sint Truiden host Lommel SK in this Belgian Pro League fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. At 1.7, Sint Truiden are priced as clear home favourites, translating to an implied probability of around 59% before margin. Lommel SK are the outsiders at 5.55 with Pinnacle, roughly an 18% chance in market terms, while the draw sits at 4.14 with 1xBet, implying about 24%. That spread of prices points to a contest the bookmakers expect the hosts to control, though outsiders and draws still land often enough to keep the underdog interesting. Our model steers away from the winner market and toward Under 2.5 goals at 2.0, reflecting a near coin-flip view of the total. It is worth noting the value edge on that pick is slightly negative, so it is a preference rather than a standout price. Approach any stake with a sensible bankroll in mind.
Verdict: The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.0, essentially a coin-flip call on a low-scoring game. Note the value edge is marginally negative at -2.3%, so treat this as a lean rather than a strong price. Lommel SK offer the only positive edge if you prefer a longer-shot angle.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 18:45 | Club Brugge v KV Kortrijk | 1.27 | 6.70 | 12.50 |
| 8 Aug 16:15 | Standard Liege v Cercle Brugge KSV | 2.44 | 3.46 | 3.00 |
| 8 Aug 18:45 | Westerlo v Union Saint-Gilloise | 4.90 | 3.90 | 1.81 |
| 9 Aug 11:30 | Gent v KV Mechelen | 2.02 | 3.69 | 3.80 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | SV Zulte-Waregem v Genk | 3.20 | 3.69 | 2.22 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Charleroi v Leuven | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| 9 Aug 16:30 | Anderlecht v RAAL La Louvière | 1.78 | 3.81 | 4.90 |
| 9 Aug 17:15 | Royal Antwerp v SK Beveren | 1.75 | 3.75 | 5.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81, with a 53% confidence rating.
Sint Truiden are the favourites at 1.7, which implies roughly a 59% chance before margin. Lommel SK are clear outsiders at 5.55, around 18%.
The draw is priced at 4.14 with 1xBet, implying about a 24% probability. That makes it a plausible result the market does not rule out.
Our model flags Lommel SK at 5.55 as the only positive-edge pick, at about 3.31% against a fair probability of 19%. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 2.0 carries a slightly negative edge of -2.3%, so it is a preference rather than a value spot.
Sint Truiden vs Lommel SK takes place Sat · 18:45 in the Belgian Pro League.
English 
Español 
Português 
Deutsch 
Français