Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Eibar are strong home favourites at 1.96, implying roughly a 51% chance of victory according to the market
Granada's 4.2 price implies only about a 24% win probability, positioning them as clear outsiders
The draw at 3.65 implies close to 27%, keeping it a live but secondary outcome for match-result bettors
The recommended Under 2.25 goals bet at 1.85 shows a 4.0% value edge with 56% implied confidence, the only pick flagged above the value threshold
Team form
Head-to-head: SD Eibar v Granada CF
W/D/L shown from SD Eibar's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
SD Eibar vs Granada CF: pre-match preview
SD Eibar host Granada CF in a La Liga 2 fixture where the betting market leans clearly toward the home side. Eibar are priced at 1.96 with Pinnacle, which implies a win probability of roughly 51%, making them the favourites on paper. Granada, at 4.2 with Unibet, are seen as considerably less likely to win, translating to an implied chance of around 24%. The draw sits in between at 3.65 with Betfair, implying about 27%. Rather than backing a match-result outcome, our model points toward the goals market, recommending Under 2.25 goals at 1.85 with Pinnacle. This selection carries a market-implied confidence of 56% and a calculated value edge of 4.0%, suggesting the goal-line price may be slightly more generous than the true probability warrants, based purely on the odds data available.
Verdict: The data points to Eibar as favourites, but the clearer angle is the Under 2.25 goals price at 1.85, backed by a modest 4.0% value edge and 56% implied confidence. It is not a certainty, so this should be treated as a measured, low-margin opportunity rather than a strong lean.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming La Liga 2 fixtures
All La Liga 2 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Leganés v Granada CF | 2.20 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| 25 Sept 18:30 | Girona FC v Albacete | 1.58 | 4.54 | 5.75 |
| 26 Sept 12:00 | AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B | 2.30 | 3.67 | 3.05 |
| 26 Sept 14:15 | Granada CF v Andorra CF | 2.32 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Celta Fortuna v Sabadell FC | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.28 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Tenerife v Cádiz CF | 1.82 | 3.63 | 5.50 |
| 27 Sept 12:00 | Real Valladolid CF v Córdoba | 2.33 | 3.57 | 3.18 |
| 27 Sept 14:15 | Mallorca v Almería | 2.07 | 3.51 | 3.99 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 2.25 goals at odds of 1.85.
SD Eibar are favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.96, which implies around a 51% chance of winning compared to Granada's roughly 24% implied probability at 4.2.
The draw is available at 3.65 with Betfair, which implies a probability of approximately 27%.
The listed value picks versus market consensus show none above the threshold for the match-result market, but the model does flag value in the Under 2.25 goals market at 1.85, showing a 4.0% edge.
The tip lost — final score 3-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).