Eredivisie · Fri · 18:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
The match-result prices are almost identical, with Excelsior at 2.65 and SC Cambuur at 2.62, so the market sees no clear favourite.
Implied probabilities sit at roughly 38% for each team and about 26% for the draw at 3.8.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.65 carries market-implied confidence of around 58%.
The value edge on the recommended pick is negative at -3.92%, meaning no selection cleared the value threshold.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2.65 | Coolbet | 37.7% |
| SC Cambuur | 2.60 | Unibet (NL) | 38.5% |
| Draw | 3.75 | Unibet (NL) | 26.7% |
This Eredivisie meeting between SC Cambuur and Excelsior arrives with a market that can barely separate the two sides. Excelsior are marginally shorter at 2.65, which implies roughly a 38% chance of victory, while SC Cambuur sit close behind at 2.62, translating to about 38% as well. The draw is priced at 3.8, or around a 26% implied probability. In practical terms, the bookmakers are treating this as close to a coin flip between the two teams, with neither given a meaningful edge. Rather than backing a side in such a tight contest, our model looks to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.65. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 58%, suggesting the total is expected to be the more readable angle here than picking the outright winner in a genuinely balanced fixture.
Verdict: The model leans to Over 2.5 goals at 1.65, reflecting about 58% implied confidence in an open game. Treat it as a moderate-risk pick: the outright market is essentially a toss-up, and the value edge is slightly negative, so stake responsibly and within your limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 14:30 | NEC Nijmegen v SC Telstar | 1.52 | 5.10 | 7.50 |
| 8 Aug 16:45 | Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II | 1.71 | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| 8 Aug 18:00 | PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard | 1.24 | 8.60 | 14.50 |
| 8 Aug 19:00 | AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag | 1.50 | 4.90 | 6.75 |
| 9 Aug 10:15 | Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord | 5.10 | 4.30 | 1.72 |
| 9 Aug 12:30 | Groningen v FC Utrecht | 2.43 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| 9 Aug 12:30 | FC Zwolle v Ajax | 7.00 | 4.80 | 1.52 |
| 9 Aug 14:45 | Heerenveen v FC Twente Enschede | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.19 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65, with a 58% confidence rating.
The market makes it extremely close. Excelsior are marginally shorter at 2.65 and SC Cambuur at 2.62, so neither side is a clear favourite based on the odds.
The draw is available at 3.8 with Betfair, which implies roughly a 26% chance of the match ending level.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 actually shows a negative value edge of -3.92%, so it is a model lean rather than a value play.
SC Cambuur vs Excelsior takes place Fri · 18:00 in the Eredivisie.
English 
Español 
Português 
Deutsch 
Français 
