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Français ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 29 Jul 2026
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (NL)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sao Paulo are favourites at 2.02 (about 50% implied), with Santos out at 3.9 (roughly 26%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.35, implying near 30% and keeping the outcome fairly open.
03
The recommended Under 2.5 goals sits at 1.67, a market-implied confidence of about 56%.
04
No value picks cleared the threshold, and the Under carries a negative edge of -6.01%, so no clear pricing edge is present.
Team form
SP Sao Paulo DLLDL
26 Jul 26 @ Flamengo 1-1
23 Jul 26 vs Paranaense 1-2
31 May 26 @ Clube do Remo 0-1
23 May 26 vs Botafogo 1-1
16 May 26 @ Fluminense 1-2
SAN Santos DLWLL
25 Jul 26 vs Chapecoense 2-2
16 Jul 26 @ Botafogo 1-2
30 May 26 vs Vitória 3-1
23 May 26 @ Grêmio 2-3
17 May 26 vs Coritiba 0-3
Head-to-head: Sao Paulo v Santos
Full H2H history → D 4 Feb 26
Santos 1-1 São PauloBrasileirão
L 21 Sept 25
Santos 1-0 São PauloBrasileirão
W 20 Apr 25
São Paulo 2-1 SantosBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Sao Paulo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sao Paulo vs Santos: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão meeting between Sao Paulo and Santos sees the home side installed as the market favourite. Sao Paulo are priced at 2.02 with Betsson, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 50%. Santos are the clear outsiders at 3.9 (Unibet NL), about 26% in implied terms, while the draw sits at 3.35, near 30%. Those figures point to a contest the bookmakers lean towards Sao Paulo without treating it as one-sided, since the combined outsider and draw pricing leaves plenty of room for a different result. Our model's attention falls not on the match-result market but on goals: the recommended angle is Under 2.5 goals at 1.67 (Unibet NL), reflecting a market-implied confidence of around 56%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge here is negative at -6.01%, so this is a read on likely game flow rather than a flagged pricing inefficiency.
Verdict: The suggested play is Under 2.5 goals at 1.67, backing a lower-scoring game rather than a match winner. With a market-implied confidence near 56% but a negative value edge of -6.01%, treat this as a modest lean, not a priced advantage. Stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 19:00 | Grêmio v Sao Paulo | 2.45 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| 8 Aug 21:30 | Remo v Atletico Mineiro | 3.08 | 3.40 | 2.48 |
| 8 Aug 23:30 | Coritiba v Chapecoense | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| 9 Aug 00:00 | Botafogo v Fluminense | 2.67 | 3.40 | 2.93 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Cruzeiro v Mirassol | 1.72 | 3.85 | 5.32 |
| 9 Aug 19:00 | Palmeiras v Internacional | 1.64 | 3.90 | 6.20 |
| 9 Aug 19:00 | Bahia v Vasco da Gama | 1.94 | 3.76 | 4.30 |
| 9 Aug 21:30 | Santos v Atletico Paranaense | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.61 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 | Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 | Mineiro | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 | São Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitória | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sao Paulo vs Santos?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.67.
Who is the favourite for Sao Paulo vs Santos?+
Sao Paulo are the favourites at 2.02 with Betsson, an implied probability of around 50%. Santos are the outsiders at 3.9, roughly 26%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.35 with Unibet (NL), which implies about a 30% chance of the match ending level.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No value picks cleared our threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.67 actually shows a negative edge of -6.01%, so it reflects expected game flow rather than a market inefficiency.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).