Liga MX · Mon · 01:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Guadalajara are favourites at 1.62, an implied probability of about 62%, well ahead of Santos Laguna's 5.25 (roughly 19%).
The draw is priced at 4.2, implying near 24% and sitting between the two match-result options in likelihood.
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.68 reflects a market-implied confidence of around 56%.
The value edge on that Over 2.5 selection is negative at -5.69%, so it is priced slightly against the bettor rather than offering an edge.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.62 | Coolbet | 61.7% |
| Santos Laguna | 5.25 | Coolbet | 19.0% |
| Draw | 4.20 | Coolbet | 23.8% |
This Liga MX meeting between Santos Laguna and Guadalajara sees the visitors installed as clear favourites. Guadalajara are priced at 1.62 with Coolbet, which converts to roughly a 62% implied chance of taking the three points. Santos Laguna are the outsiders at 5.25, or about 19% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 4.2, implying close to 24%. The gap in the prices tells the story: the market leans firmly towards Guadalajara controlling this fixture, with a home win seen as the least likely outcome. Rather than backing the match result, our model turns to the goals market. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.68 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 56%. It is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative at -5.69%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Verdict: The model recommends Over 2.5 goals at 1.68, backed by roughly 56% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -5.69%, meaning the price is a touch short of fair. Treat this as a modest lean, stake responsibly, and remember goals markets can swing on a single outcome.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 23:00 | Atlante FC v Toluca | 5.90 | 4.20 | 1.58 |
| 16 Aug 01:00 | Monterrey v FC Juárez | 1.56 | 4.40 | 5.75 |
| 16 Aug 03:00 | Atlas v Tigres | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| 16 Aug 18:00 | Pumas v Querétaro | 1.64 | 4.20 | 5.05 |
| 16 Aug 23:00 | América v Atlético San Luis | 1.60 | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| 17 Aug 03:00 | Tijuana v Cruz Azul | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| 18 Aug 01:00 | Necaxa v León | 2.30 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| 18 Aug 03:00 | Pachuca v Puebla | 1.40 | 4.75 | 8.25 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.68, with a 56% confidence rating.
Guadalajara are the favourites at 1.62 with Coolbet, an implied probability of about 62%. Santos Laguna are the outsiders at 5.25, around 19%.
The draw is priced at 4.2 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 24% chance of the points being shared.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.68 actually shows a negative value edge of -5.69%, so it is a lean rather than a clear value play.
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara takes place Mon · 01:00 in the Liga MX.
English 
Español 
Português 
Deutsch 
Français