Eliteserien · Fri · 17:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Sandefjord are the market favourites at 2.11, about 47% implied probability, but the price is short of a dominant favourite.
KFUM at 3.63 (around 28%) and the draw at 3.70 (around 27%) are priced almost level, suggesting an uncertain outcome beyond the favourite.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 carries roughly 54% market-implied confidence, indicating the model expects an open scoring game.
The value edge on the Over sits at -3.24%, meaning the price is marginally against you rather than offering clear positive value.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| KFUM | 3.63 | Coolbet | 27.5% |
| Sandefjord | 2.11 | GTbets | 47.4% |
| Draw | 3.75 | Betfair | 26.7% |
Sandefjord host KFUM in this Eliteserien fixture, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. At 2.11, Sandefjord carry an implied probability of roughly 47%, marking them as favourites without making the outcome a formality. KFUM are priced at 3.63, which translates to about 28%, while the draw sits at 3.70, or close to 27%. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers see as tilted but far from settled. Our model steps away from the match-result market and looks at goals instead, recommending Over 2.5 at 1.78 with Coolbet. That price reflects market-implied confidence around 54%, though the value edge here runs slightly negative at -3.24%, so this is more a lean than a standout opportunity. The read is a home team favoured to edge it, in a game the model expects to feature goals at both ends.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, backed by around 54% implied confidence. It is a moderate-risk lean rather than a value play, since the edge is slightly negative at -3.24%. Treat it as a modest position and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 12:00 | Vålerenga v Bodø/Glimt | 6.60 | 5.17 | 1.48 |
| 8 Aug 14:00 | Viking FK v Sarpsborg FK | 1.38 | 5.63 | 7.60 |
| 8 Aug 16:00 | IK Start v Fredrikstad FK | 2.33 | 3.55 | 3.21 |
| 9 Aug 12:30 | Lillestrom v Rosenborg | 2.48 | 3.64 | 2.89 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | HamKam v Aalesund | 2.18 | 3.85 | 3.37 |
| 9 Aug 17:15 | Kristiansund BK v Molde | 4.90 | 3.90 | 1.78 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.78, with a 54% confidence rating.
Sandefjord are the favourites at 2.11, an implied probability of roughly 47%. KFUM are the outsiders at 3.63, around 28%.
The draw is priced at 3.70 with Nordic Bet, which implies about a 27% chance. That sits very close to the odds for a KFUM win.
The model recommends Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, but the value edge is slightly negative at -3.24%. It reflects an expectation of goals rather than a genuine price advantage, so approach it as a lean.
Sandefjord vs KFUM takes place Fri · 17:00 in the Eliteserien.
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