Champions League · Tue · 16:45 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Slavia Praha's 2.10 price implies close to a 47.6 percent win probability, the strongest signal in the match-result market.
Sabah FK's 3.61 price implies roughly 27.7 percent, slightly below the model's fair estimate of 29 percent, an edge of 4.36 percent.
The draw at 3.9 shows the largest gap in the data, with a fair probability of 28 percent against an implied 25.6 percent, an 8.38 percent edge.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.71 carries 58 percent implied confidence but a slightly negative edge of -1.56 percent, indicating the price is close to fair rather than clearly favourable.
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| Bookmaker | 1 · SF | X | 2 · SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.72 | 3.85 | 2.06 |
| Coolbet | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.03 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62 | 3.74 | 2.00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.02 |
| GTbets | 3.51 | 3.75 | 2.01 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Slavia Praha travel to face Sabah FK in a Champions League fixture where the betting market draws a clear line between the two sides. Slavia's best price of 2.10 with Betfair implies a win probability of roughly 47.6 percent, making them the outright favourite on paper. Sabah FK sit at 3.61, translating to an implied chance of about 27.7 percent, while the draw at 3.9 rounds out the market at close to 25.6 percent. Within this pricing structure, the site's model steers away from the result market altogether and instead flags Over 2.5 goals at 1.71 as its recommended angle, carrying an implied confidence of 58 percent. Elsewhere, the numbers suggest some possible mispricing in the draw and in Sabah FK's price relative to modelled fair probabilities, both worth noting before deciding where to place interest in this Champions League clash.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 1.71, a moderate-confidence pick given its 58 percent implied probability, though the slight negative edge means it is not a standout value play. Backers of the draw or Sabah FK may find better-priced value based on the fair-probability gaps shown, but all options carry real risk and should be sized with care.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 16:45 | RC Lens v Sporting Lisbon | 2.47 | 3.95 | 2.86 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Arsenal v Lille | 1.33 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Inter Milan v Club Brugge | 1.32 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Villarreal v Napoli | 2.42 | 3.75 | 3.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven | 2.08 | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Viking FK v Bayern Munich | 26.00 | 14.70 | 1.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Atlético Madrid v Manchester United | 2.35 | 4.00 | 2.97 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Galatasaray v Barcelona | 9.30 | 6.50 | 1.35 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | PAE AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Shaktar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atleti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Sl. Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.71, with a 58% confidence rating.
Slavia Praha are favourites according to the market, priced at 2.10 with Betfair, which implies a win probability of roughly 47.6 percent.
The draw is priced at 3.9 with 1xBet, implying about 25.6 percent, while the model's fair estimate puts it closer to 28 percent, an edge of 8.38 percent.
The data points to value on the draw (8.38 percent edge) and Sabah FK (4.36 percent edge) relative to fair probabilities, while the recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.71 shows a small negative edge of -1.56 percent, so it should be viewed as moderate rather than high-value.
Sabah FK vs Slavia Praha takes place Tue · 16:45 in the Champions League.
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