Liga Profesional · Sun · 21:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
River Plate are the favourites at 2.44 (around 41% implied), ahead of Argentinos Juniors at 3.28 (around 30%).
The draw is competitively priced at 2.96, about 34% implied, pointing to a close market read.
The gap between the two sides is modest, so this is not a heavy mismatch on the odds.
Our recommended Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.62 shows a negative value edge of -5.12%, so there is no measurable market edge.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentinos Juniors | 3.20 | Codere (IT) | 31.3% |
| River Plate | 2.49 | 1xBet | 40.2% |
| Draw | 2.95 | 1xBet | 33.9% |
River Plate host Argentinos Juniors in this Liga Profesional fixture, and the market leans towards the home side without treating the outcome as a foregone conclusion. River are priced at 2.44, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 41%, while Argentinos Juniors sit at 3.28, or about 30%. The draw at 2.96 implies around 34%, underlining that this is a reasonably open contest rather than a one-sided affair. Our model does not flag a value angle on the match result itself, so the focus shifts to the goals market. The recommended bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.62, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 59%. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative at around -5.12%, meaning the price offers no measurable edge over the market by our numbers. Treat it as a lean rather than a strong recommendation, and keep stakes sensible.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 1.5 goals at 1.62, with roughly 59% implied confidence. Because the value edge is negative at -5.12%, this is a low-conviction lean rather than a strong call. If you back it, keep stakes modest and bet within a plan you are comfortable with.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Estudiantes | 2.16 | 3.10 | 4.34 |
| 6 Aug 00:15 | CA Tigre BA v Belgrano de Cordoba | 2.66 | 2.92 | 3.40 |
| 6 Aug 22:00 | Union Santa Fe v Lanus | 2.40 | 3.09 | 3.65 |
| 7 Aug 22:30 | Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata | 1.55 | 3.90 | 8.60 |
| 8 Aug 00:45 | Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.56 | 4.02 | 7.80 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.83 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes | 3.40 | 2.72 | 2.62 |
| 8 Aug 20:00 | CA Tigre BA v River Plate | 3.42 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.62, with a 59% confidence rating.
River Plate are the favourites at 2.44, implying about a 41% chance, compared with Argentinos Juniors at 3.28, around 30%.
The draw is priced at 2.96 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 34% probability.
No value pick cleared our threshold, and the recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.62 actually shows a negative edge of -5.12%, so we see no measurable market advantage.
River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors takes place Sun · 21:00 in the Liga Profesional.
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