Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Rapid Wien are the favourites at 2.44 (about 41% implied), but only narrowly ahead of Ried at 3.1 (about 32%).
The draw at 3.4 implies roughly a 29% chance, reflecting a genuinely open three-way market.
Our model favours Under 2.5 goals at 1.81, carrying a market-implied confidence near 53%.
The recommended pick shows a negative value edge of about -3.87%, so there is no clear pricing advantage.
Team form
Head-to-head: Ried v Rapid Wien
W/D/L shown from Ried's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Ried vs Rapid Wien: pre-match preview
This Austrian Bundesliga fixture sends Rapid Wien to Ried, and the market frames the visitors as the modest favourites. Rapid's best price of 2.44 implies roughly a 41% chance of taking the three points, while Ried at 3.1 sit closer to 32%. The draw is priced at 3.4, translating to about a 29% probability, which underlines how open the bookmakers consider this contest to be. The gap between the two sides is fairly narrow, so this reads as a competitive match rather than a clear mismatch. Our model turns its attention to the goals market instead of the result, leaning towards Under 2.5 goals at 1.81, with a market-implied confidence around 53%. That said, the value edge on the pick is negative at roughly -3.87%, so it is offered as a read on the game rather than a standout price. Approach it with a measured stake.
Verdict: The lean is Under 2.5 goals at 1.81, supported by a market-implied confidence around 53%. However, the negative value edge means the price offers no real margin over the market, so treat this as a moderate-risk, informational call rather than a strong play. Stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Ried to win at odds of 3.20.
Rapid Wien are the favourites at a best price of 2.44, implying about a 41% chance. Ried are close behind at 3.1, or roughly 32%.
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies around a 29% probability.
No value picks cleared our threshold here. The model's Under 2.5 goals lean at 1.81 actually shows a negative edge of about -3.87%, so there is no clear pricing advantage.
The tip lost — final score 1-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).