Austrian Bundesliga · Sun · 15:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Rapid Wien are the favourites at 2.44 (about 41% implied), but only narrowly ahead of Ried at 3.1 (about 32%).
The draw at 3.4 implies roughly a 29% chance, reflecting a genuinely open three-way market.
Our model favours Under 2.5 goals at 1.81, carrying a market-implied confidence near 53%.
The recommended pick shows a negative value edge of about -3.87%, so there is no clear pricing advantage.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Wien | 2.44 | Pinnacle | 41.0% |
| Ried | 3.10 | Tipico | 32.3% |
| Draw | 3.40 | Coolbet | 29.4% |
This Austrian Bundesliga fixture sends Rapid Wien to Ried, and the market frames the visitors as the modest favourites. Rapid's best price of 2.44 implies roughly a 41% chance of taking the three points, while Ried at 3.1 sit closer to 32%. The draw is priced at 3.4, translating to about a 29% probability, which underlines how open the bookmakers consider this contest to be. The gap between the two sides is fairly narrow, so this reads as a competitive match rather than a clear mismatch. Our model turns its attention to the goals market instead of the result, leaning towards Under 2.5 goals at 1.81, with a market-implied confidence around 53%. That said, the value edge on the pick is negative at roughly -3.87%, so it is offered as a read on the game rather than a standout price. Approach it with a measured stake.
Verdict: The lean is Under 2.5 goals at 1.81, supported by a market-implied confidence around 53%. However, the negative value edge means the price offers no real margin over the market, so treat this as a moderate-risk, informational call rather than a strong play. Stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 17:30 | Rheindorf Altach v WSG Tirol | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| 8 Aug 15:00 | Grazer AK v Austria Lustenau | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.57 |
| 8 Aug 17:30 | Hartberg v Sturm Graz | 5.30 | 4.00 | 1.68 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | Wolfsberger AC v RB Salzburg | 3.80 | 3.87 | 1.91 |
| 9 Aug 17:00 | Austria Wien v LASK | 3.70 | 3.67 | 2.05 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81, with a 53% confidence rating.
Rapid Wien are the favourites at a best price of 2.44, implying about a 41% chance. Ried are close behind at 3.1, or roughly 32%.
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies around a 29% probability.
No value picks cleared our threshold here. The model's Under 2.5 goals lean at 1.81 actually shows a negative edge of about -3.87%, so there is no clear pricing advantage.
Ried vs Rapid Wien takes place Sun · 15:00 in the Austrian Bundesliga.
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