Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
Atletico Mineiro are the narrow favourites at 2.57 (about 39% implied), just ahead of Remo at 2.96 (roughly 34%).
The draw is priced at 3.17, near 32% implied, underlining how tight the market views this fixture.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.73 sits around 55% market-implied confidence, suggesting a lean towards a lower-scoring game.
The value edge on that pick is negative at -4.14%, and no selections cleared the value threshold, so this is a modest angle rather than a strong price.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 50%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.8% | 7.84 |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | 8.98 |
| 0-1 | 9.5% | 10.55 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 11.64 |
| 0-0 | 8.3% | 12.09 |
| 2-0 | 7.5% | 13.35 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.35 and 1.15. These six scorelines cover 58% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
Head-to-head: Remo v Atletico Mineiro
W/D/L shown from Remo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mineiro | 2.48 | 1xBet | 40.3% |
| Remo | 3.08 | 1xBet | 32.5% |
| Draw | 3.40 | Coolbet | 29.4% |
Remo vs Atletico Mineiro: match preview
This Brasileirão fixture sees Remo host Atletico Mineiro, and the market leans towards the visitors. Atletico Mineiro are priced at 2.57, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 39%, edging them ahead as slight favourites. Remo, at 2.96, sit at about 34% in implied terms, while the draw at 3.17 works out near 32%. Those numbers describe a fairly open contest rather than a one-sided one, with only modest daylight between the two sides. Our model, however, steers away from the match result and towards the goals market. The recommended selection is Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 55%. That said, the value edge on this pick reads negative at -4.14%, meaning it is a lean rather than a standout price. Treat it as a considered angle on a competitive Brasileirão matchup, and stake within your usual limits.
Verdict: The model favours Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, a lean towards a tighter game rather than a firm value call given the negative -4.14% edge. With roughly 55% implied confidence it is plausible but far from certain, so keep stakes measured and accept the outcome is genuinely uncertain.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 19:00 | Grêmio v Sao Paulo | 2.45 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| 8 Aug 23:30 | Coritiba v Chapecoense | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| 9 Aug 00:00 | Botafogo v Fluminense | 2.67 | 3.40 | 2.93 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Cruzeiro v Mirassol | 1.72 | 3.85 | 5.32 |
| 9 Aug 19:00 | Palmeiras v Internacional | 1.64 | 3.90 | 6.20 |
| 9 Aug 19:00 | Bahia v Vasco da Gama | 1.94 | 3.76 | 4.30 |
| 9 Aug 21:30 | Santos v Atletico Paranaense | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.61 |
| 9 Aug 21:30 | Bragantino-SP v Corinthians | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 | Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 | Mineiro | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 | São Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitória | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip is Remo to win at odds of 3.08, with a 36% confidence rating.
Atletico Mineiro are the slight favourites at 2.57, implying about a 39% chance, just ahead of Remo at 2.96 (around 34%).
The draw is available at 3.17, which equates to an implied probability of roughly 32%, reflecting a closely matched contest.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 actually shows a negative edge of -4.14%, so it is a lean rather than a value pick.
Remo vs Atletico Mineiro takes place Sat · 21:30 in the Brasileirão.