Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Atletico Mineiro are the narrow favourites at 2.57 (about 39% implied), just ahead of Remo at 2.96 (roughly 34%).
The draw is priced at 3.17, near 32% implied, underlining how tight the market views this fixture.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.73 sits around 55% market-implied confidence, suggesting a lean towards a lower-scoring game.
The value edge on that pick is negative at -4.14%, and no selections cleared the value threshold, so this is a modest angle rather than a strong price.
Team form
Head-to-head: Remo v Atletico Mineiro
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Remo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Remo vs Atletico Mineiro: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão fixture sees Remo host Atletico Mineiro, and the market leans towards the visitors. Atletico Mineiro are priced at 2.57, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 39%, edging them ahead as slight favourites. Remo, at 2.96, sit at about 34% in implied terms, while the draw at 3.17 works out near 32%. Those numbers describe a fairly open contest rather than a one-sided one, with only modest daylight between the two sides. Our model, however, steers away from the match result and towards the goals market. The recommended selection is Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 55%. That said, the value edge on this pick reads negative at -4.14%, meaning it is a lean rather than a standout price. Treat it as a considered angle on a competitive Brasileirão matchup, and stake within your usual limits.
Verdict: The model favours Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, a lean towards a tighter game rather than a firm value call given the negative -4.14% edge. With roughly 55% implied confidence it is plausible but far from certain, so keep stakes measured and accept the outcome is genuinely uncertain.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.73.
Atletico Mineiro are the slight favourites at 2.57, implying about a 39% chance, just ahead of Remo at 2.96 (around 34%).
The draw is available at 3.17, which equates to an implied probability of roughly 32%, reflecting a closely matched contest.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 actually shows a negative edge of -4.14%, so it is a lean rather than a value pick.
The tip lost — final score 2-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).