Champions League · Tue · 16:45 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Lens are priced shortest at 2.46 (about 41% implied), with Sporting Lisbon next at 2.86 (about 35%) and the draw out at 3.86 (about 26%), indicating a competitive rather than one-sided match-up.
The gap between Lens and Sporting's odds is relatively narrow, suggesting the market does not see a dominant favourite in this tie.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals price of 1.65 carries a implied probability near 60%, but the model's own value edge on this pick sits slightly negative at -1.4%, meaning it is not flagged as a clear market inefficiency.
No side of the match-result market currently clears the site's value threshold, so no straight win/draw pick is being highlighted for this fixture.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · RL | X | 2 · SL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.47 | 3.85 | 2.86 |
| Betfair | 2.44 | 3.95 | 2.78 |
| Coolbet | 2.45 | 3.85 | 2.75 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.40 | 3.74 | 2.78 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
RC Lens host Sporting Lisbon in a Champions League clash where the betting market leans toward Lens as the narrow favourite. Best-priced odds of 2.46 for a Lens win imply a probability of roughly 41%, ahead of Sporting Lisbon at 2.86 (about 35%) and the draw at 3.86 (around 26%). Those numbers point to a fairly tight contest with no side seen as a heavy favourite, and the small gap between the top two prices suggests the bookmakers see this as close to a coin-flip affair with a live draw price attached. Away from the match-result market, the featured angle here is goals: Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65, translating to an implied probability of about 60%, and it forms the site's recommended selection for this fixture. As with any Champions League tie, the scoreline market always carries variance, so this preview sticks strictly to what the current odds tell us.
Verdict: The lean here is Over 2.5 goals at 1.65, reflecting a market view that this fixture is more likely than not to produce three or more goals. With a value edge of -1.4%, the price does not represent a standout market inefficiency, so this should be treated as a moderate-confidence angle rather than a strong statistical edge. Bet with discipline and manage stakes accordingly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 16:45 | Sabah FK v Slavia Praha | 3.72 | 4.00 | 2.06 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Arsenal v Lille | 1.33 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Inter Milan v Club Brugge | 1.32 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Villarreal v Napoli | 2.42 | 3.75 | 3.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven | 2.08 | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Viking FK v Bayern Munich | 26.00 | 14.70 | 1.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Atlético Madrid v Manchester United | 2.35 | 4.00 | 2.97 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Galatasaray v Barcelona | 9.30 | 6.50 | 1.35 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | PAE AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Shaktar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atleti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Sl. Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65, with a 60% confidence rating.
RC Lens are the marginal favourite according to the odds, priced at 2.46 which implies about a 41% chance of victory, compared with Sporting Lisbon's 2.86 (about 35%).
The draw is available at 3.86, which implies a probability of roughly 26%, the lowest of the three match-result outcomes.
The site's recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.65, though its value edge versus the model is slightly negative at -1.4%, and no match-result selection currently clears the value threshold.
RC Lens vs Sporting Lisbon takes place Tue · 16:45 in the Champions League.
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