English ⚽ Championship 🕒 5 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.90
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
55%Pre-match conf.
-0.52%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Preston North End are favourites at 2.65 (about 38 percent implied probability), only marginally ahead of Blackburn Rovers at 2.96 (about 34 percent)
02
The draw is priced at 3.3, implying roughly 30 percent, keeping all three outcomes within a similar range and pointing to a competitive match on paper
03
The recommended bet, Under 2.5 Goals at 1.8, carries only 54 percent model confidence and a negative value edge of -3.51 percent, meaning it is not a clear-cut edge play
04
No match-result selections clear the site's value threshold, so there is no standout price discrepancy on the win-draw-win market for this fixture
Team form
PNE Preston North End DLLWL
19 Sept 26 @ QPR 2-2
12 Sept 26 vs Lincoln City 0-1
8 Sept 26 @ Watford 1-2
5 Sept 26 vs Blackburn 2-1
1 Sept 26 vs Bristol City 1-3
BR Blackburn Rovers DWLLD
19 Sept 26 @ Portsmouth 2-2
12 Sept 26 vs Millwall 3-1
8 Sept 26 vs Sheffield Utd 1-2
5 Sept 26 @ Preston NE 1-2
1 Sept 26 @ Lincoln City 0-0
Head-to-head: Preston North End v Blackburn Rovers
Full H2H history → W 5 Sept 26
Preston NE 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
L 20 Feb 26
Blackburn 1-0 Preston NEChampionship
L 21 Nov 25
Preston NE 1-2 BlackburnChampionship
W/D/L shown from Preston North End's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers: pre-match preview
Preston North End host Blackburn Rovers in a Championship fixture where the bookmakers see very little separating the two sides. Best available prices make Preston narrow favourites at 2.65, which implies a win probability of roughly 38 percent, just ahead of Blackburn at 2.96 (around 34 percent) and the draw at 3.3 (about 30 percent). With the three outcomes bunched so closely together, the match-result market looks genuinely open rather than one-sided. Away from the win-draw-win line, our model's attention shifts to the goals market, flagging Under 2.5 Goals at 1.8 as its recommended angle, albeit with a modest 54 percent implied confidence and a slightly negative value edge of -3.51 percent. No side of the match-result market currently clears our value threshold, underlining how tightly this Preston-Blackburn clash is priced.
Verdict: The tight match-result pricing offers no clear standout, so attention turns to Under 2.5 Goals at 1.8. With only 54 percent model confidence and a negative value edge, this is a moderate-risk lean rather than a strong recommendation, and staking should reflect that uncertainty.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Championship fixtures
All Championship tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 19:00 | West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers | 1.55 | 4.90 | 6.80 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Swansea City v Norwich City | 2.66 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City | 2.31 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Charlton Athletic v Bristol City | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.32 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Middlesbrough v Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.21 | 3.73 | 3.40 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City | 2.72 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sheffield United v Lincoln City | 2.03 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Preston North End v Millwall | 2.66 | 3.40 | 2.71 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 12 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston NE | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.90.
Who is favourite in the Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers match?+
Preston North End are the marginal favourites at best odds of 2.65, implying a win probability of around 38 percent, just ahead of Blackburn Rovers at 2.96 (about 34 percent).
What is the draw price for Preston vs Blackburn?+
The draw is available at 3.3, which implies roughly a 30 percent chance according to the market, keeping it close to both team prices.
Is there betting value in this Preston vs Blackburn fixture?+
According to the data, no match-result selection clears the value threshold, and the recommended Under 2.5 Goals bet at 1.8 actually shows a slightly negative value edge of -3.51 percent, so this is not a strong value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).