Greek Super League · Sun · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
The result odds are close: Panetolikos at 2.62 (around 38% implied) versus Asteras Tripolis at 2.85 (around 35%), a small gap favouring the hosts.
The draw is priced at 3.15, implying roughly 32%, reflecting a genuinely open matchup with no dominant side.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 shows a negative value edge of -5.52%, meaning the price sits below what the model considers fair value.
No selection cleared the value threshold against market consensus, so there is no strong edge on offer in this fixture.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 2.85 | Coolbet | 35.1% |
| Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.62 | 1xBet | 38.2% |
| Draw | 3.15 | Coolbet | 31.7% |
This Greek Super League clash between Panetolikos Agrinio and Asteras Tripolis is priced as a genuinely tight affair, with the market leaning only marginally toward the hosts. Panetolikos are the narrow favourites at 2.62, implying roughly a 38% chance of victory, while Asteras Tripolis sit at 2.85, or around 35% in probability terms. The draw at 3.15 translates to about 32%, underlining how open the bookmakers see this contest. With no side commanding a clear edge, the result market offers little separation. Our model instead looks to the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 2.35, which carries a market-implied confidence of about 40%. That said, the calculated value edge here is negative at -5.52%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price. Bettors weighing Panetolikos versus Asteras Tripolis should treat this as a balanced, low-conviction fixture and stake accordingly.
Verdict: The model's lean is Over 2.5 goals at 2.35, backed by roughly 40% implied confidence. However, the negative value edge of -5.52% marks this as a low-conviction pick rather than a strong play. Treat it cautiously, keep stakes modest, and only bet within your means.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 17:00 | AEK Athens v Iraklis FC | 1.18 | 6.40 | 15.00 |
| 22 Aug 17:00 | Kalamata FC v Aris Thessaloniki | 4.04 | 3.25 | 2.08 |
| 22 Aug 19:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Atromitos Athens | 1.23 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| 23 Aug 16:30 | OFI Crete v Volos FC | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia FC | 1.26 | 5.50 | 15.00 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos | 1.30 | 5.25 | 12.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.35, with a 40% confidence rating.
Panetolikos Agrinio are the slight favourites at 2.62, implying about a 38% chance. Asteras Tripolis are close behind at 2.85, or roughly 35%, so the edge is small.
The draw is priced at 3.15 with Coolbet, which implies approximately a 32% probability. That pricing reflects how evenly matched the market sees this fixture.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 actually carries a negative edge of -5.52%, so it is a lean rather than a value pick.
Panetolikos Agrinio vs Asteras Tripolis takes place Sun · 18:30 in the Greek Super League.
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