English ⚽ Allsvenskan 🕒 19 Sept 2026
Our tip
Over 3.5 goals
Odds
2.15
LostResult
1-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
48%Pre-match conf.
-6.52%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at LeoVegas (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sirius are priced at 1.53, implying roughly a 65% chance of victory according to the market.
02
Örgryte's 6.1 price implies just under 16% for a home win, making them clear outsiders on paper.
03
The draw at 4.7 implies about 21%, sitting between the two win outcomes in terms of market expectation.
04
The Over 3.5 goals selection at 2.15 carries a modelled edge of 3.64% versus its 48% implied confidence, the only pick flagged above the value threshold.
Team form
ÖI Örgryte IS LLDLD
19 Sept 26 vs IK Sirius 1-2
13 Sept 26 @ Malmo FF 1-4
6 Sept 26 vs Hammarby IF 1-1
30 Aug 26 @ IFK Goteborg 0-1
22 Aug 26 vs Halmstads BK 1-1
IS IK Sirius WWWLL
19 Sept 26 @ Örgryte IS 2-1
14 Sept 26 vs Degerfors IF 2-0
5 Sept 26 @ Västerås SK 1-0
31 Aug 26 vs Malmo FF 0-1
21 Aug 26 vs BK Hacken 0-3
Head-to-head: Örgryte IS v IK Sirius
L 19 Sept 26
Örgryte IS 1-2 IK SiriusAllsvenskan
W/D/L shown from Örgryte IS's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius: pre-match preview
Örgryte IS host IK Sirius in an Allsvenskan fixture where the market leaves little doubt about the favourite. Sirius are priced at 1.53 with Unibet, which implies a win probability of roughly 65%, a clear reflection of market confidence in the away side. Örgryte, by contrast, sit out at 6.1, implying only about 16% for a home win, while the draw is priced at 4.7, implying around 21%. With the win market so heavily tilted toward Sirius, our model looks past the result itself and points to the total-goals market, recommending Over 3.5 goals at 2.15 with LeoVegas, a price that corresponds to an implied confidence of 48% and a modelled value edge of 3.64% against that line.
Verdict: The recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 2.15, supported by a modest 3.64% edge over the market's implied 48% probability. It is not a high-confidence certainty, more a marginal statistical lean, so stakes should be sized conservatively and treated as one part of a broader, disciplined approach to betting.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius?+
Our tip was Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.15.
Who is favourite in Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius?+
IK Sirius are the clear market favourites at 1.53 with Unibet, implying roughly a 65% chance of winning, compared with Örgryte's 6.1 price.
What is the draw priced at for this match?+
The draw is available at 4.7 with Unibet, which implies an approximate 21% probability according to the market.
Is there value in this fixture according to the model?+
No match-result value picks cleared the threshold, but the model flags Over 3.5 goals at 2.15 as carrying a 3.64% edge against its 48% implied confidence.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).