Greek Super League · Sat · 19:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Olympiakos are strong favourites at 1.23, an implied probability of about 81%, underlining how the market rates the home side.
Atromitos are long outsiders at 15.0, priced at roughly a 7% chance of winning, one of the widest price gaps you will see.
The draw at 6.0 implies around 17%, sitting between the two match-result outcomes but still well behind the favourite.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 2.21 carries a market-implied confidence near 43%, but the value edge is negative at -5.53%.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos Athens | 15.00 | Betsson | 6.7% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.23 | 1xBet | 81.3% |
| Draw | 6.00 | Betsson | 16.7% |
The Greek Super League clash between Olympiakos Piraeus and Atromitos Athens carries a firmly one-sided market. Olympiakos are priced at 1.23 to take the three points, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 81%, marking them as heavy home favourites. Atromitos sit at the opposite end at 15.0, implying only around a 7% chance of an away win, while the draw is quoted at 6.0, or about 17% in probability terms. In short, the market sees this as a mismatch that heavily favours Olympiakos. Our model's attention falls not on the result but on the goal line: it flags Under 2.5 goals at 2.21 (1xBet), reflecting a market-implied confidence near 43%. That said, the calculated value edge is negative at -5.53%, so this is more of a lean than a clear-value proposition on the numbers provided.
Verdict: The model leans toward Under 2.5 goals at 2.21, with an implied confidence of around 43%. Because the value edge is negative at -5.53%, treat this as a modest lean rather than a strong edge. It is a moderate-risk pick with no clear pricing advantage, so stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 17:00 | AEK Athens v Iraklis FC | 1.18 | 6.40 | 15.00 |
| 22 Aug 17:00 | Kalamata FC v Aris Thessaloniki | 4.04 | 3.25 | 2.08 |
| 23 Aug 16:30 | OFI Crete v Volos FC | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia FC | 1.26 | 5.50 | 15.00 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos | 1.30 | 5.25 | 12.00 |
| 23 Aug 18:30 | Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis | 2.62 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65, with a 57% confidence rating.
Olympiakos Piraeus are clear favourites at 1.23, an implied probability of roughly 81%. Atromitos Athens are long outsiders at 15.0, about 7%.
The draw is priced at 6.0 with Betsson, which implies a probability of around 17%.
No value pick cleared our threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 2.21 shows a negative value edge of -5.53%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet on these numbers.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos Athens takes place Sat · 19:00 in the Greek Super League.
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