Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
OFI Crete are favourites at 2.02, an implied probability of around 50%, while Volos FC at 3.9 sit near 26%.
The draw is priced at 3.5, roughly a 29% implied chance, keeping the result outcome genuinely open.
The gap between home and away prices is meaningful but not extreme, reflecting a moderate rather than dominant favourite.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals pick at 1.8 shows a negative value edge of -4.6%, so it offers no pricing advantage over the market.
Team form
Head-to-head: OFI Crete v Volos FC
W/D/L shown from OFI Crete's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
OFI Crete vs Volos FC: pre-match preview
OFI Crete host Volos FC in this Greek Super League fixture, and the market clearly leans toward the home side. OFI's best price of 2.02 translates to an implied probability of roughly 50%, marking them as favourites without making them overwhelming. Volos, at 3.9, are priced around 26% to take all three points, while the draw at 3.5 sits near 29% in implied terms. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers see as tilted but far from settled. Our model's attention here is on the goals market rather than the result: it flags Under 2.5 goals at 1.8, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 53%. That said, the value edge on this pick is negative at -4.6%, meaning the price does not currently offer an advantage over the market. For OFI Crete against Volos FC, the read is a modest home lean with a cautious, low-scoring lean on totals.
Verdict: The model points to Under 2.5 goals at 1.8, backed by around 53% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -4.6%, so this is a lean rather than a value play. Treat it as a low-scoring view and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Greek Super League fixtures
All Greek Super League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki | 170.00 | 29.00 | 1.03 |
| 10 Oct 15:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FC | 1.25 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | AEK Athens v OFI Crete | 1.20 | 6.10 | 14.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens | 2.45 | 3.16 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | Iraklis FC v Levadiakos | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC | 1.77 | 3.60 | 5.15 |
| 11 Oct 18:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.39 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.03.
OFI Crete are the favourites at a best price of 2.02, an implied probability of about 50%. Volos FC are the outsiders at 3.9, roughly 26%.
The draw is available at 3.5 with Coolbet, which implies around a 29% chance of the match ending level.
No value pick cleared our threshold here. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.8 actually carries a negative edge of -4.6%, so it is a lean rather than a genuine value bet.
The tip lost — final score 2-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).