League One · Sat · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Notts County are the shortest-priced side at 2.35, implying roughly a 42.6 percent chance of victory, the highest of the three outcomes.
Blackpool's 2.95 price implies about 33.9 percent, keeping them within realistic striking distance according to the market.
The draw at 3.3 (around 30.3 percent implied) shows the market sees this as a tightly contested match rather than a one-sided affair.
No match-result selections cleared our value threshold, and the recommended Over 2.5 Goals pick carries a -8.26 percent value edge, meaning the model does not currently see a clear pricing edge in this fixture.
| Bookmaker | 1 · NC | X | 2 · BLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Notts County host Blackpool in a League One clash where the betting market leans toward the home side without making them overwhelming favourites. Best odds price Notts County at 2.35, which implies a win probability of roughly 42.6 percent, while Blackpool at 2.95 corresponds to about 33.9 percent. The draw, priced at 3.3, sits at close to 30.3 percent, keeping all three outcomes fairly live on paper. Rather than picking a side in the win-draw-win market, our model points to the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 Goals at 1.85, a price that reflects a market-implied confidence of 50 percent. It's worth noting the model's own value edge on this selection comes out slightly negative, so this is a competitive, closely-priced fixture rather than a clear-cut market inefficiency.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 Goals selection at 1.85 reflects a roughly even-money style proposition with 50 percent implied confidence, but the negative value edge means it isn't flagged as a mathematically favourable bet. Treat it as a reasonable, moderate-risk option rather than a standout opportunity, and stake with discipline.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Wycombe Wanderers v Reading | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.73 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Bradford City v Barnsley | 1.78 | 3.75 | 4.30 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Doncaster Rovers v Oxford United | 2.03 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Cambridge United v Wimbledon | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday | 2.95 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion | 1.64 | 4.05 | 5.00 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Mansfield Town v Leyton Orient | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.85, with a 50% confidence rating.
Notts County are the market favourites at 2.35, which implies roughly a 42.6 percent win probability, ahead of Blackpool at 2.95 (about 33.9 percent) and the draw at 3.3 (about 30.3 percent).
The best available draw price is 3.3, which corresponds to an implied probability of approximately 30.3 percent.
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold. The model's recommended bet is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.85 with 50 percent implied confidence, though its calculated value edge is slightly negative at -8.26 percent, so it isn't a clear-cut value play.
Notts County vs Blackpool takes place Sat · 14:00 in the League One.
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