New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Odds

Our prediction

⚽ MLS 🕒 Sun · 22:00

NYC

New York City FC

Philadelphia Union

Model lean

Over 3.0 goals

Odds

2.03

ⓘ Model lean, not an official pick — this fixture didn't clear our value threshold, so it isn't counted in the record

ConfidenceValue · 46%

AI Value edge -5.73% · best price at Coolbet

Bet at Coolbet

Team form

NYC New York City FC DW

31 Jul 26 vs Toronto FC 1-1

25 Jul 26 vs Chicago Fire 3-1

PU Philadelphia Union WW

1 Aug 26 vs Atlanta United FC 3-2

25 Jul 26 vs Seattle Sounders FC 1-0

Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.

Best odds across bookmakers

Outcome	Best price	Bookmaker	Implied
New York City FC	1.78	LeoVegas (SE)	56.2%
Philadelphia Union	4.40	LeoVegas (SE)	22.7%
Draw	4.33	1xBet	23.1%

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union: match preview

New York City FC host Philadelphia Union in this MLS matchup, and the market leaves little doubt about the pecking order. The home side is priced at 1.73 with 1xBet, which translates to roughly a 58% implied chance of taking the three points. Philadelphia sit at 4.78, or around 21% in probability terms, while the draw is offered at 4.2 with Coolbet, close to 24%. That spread frames New York City FC as clear favourites, though the Union's odds still reflect a live outsider rather than a written-off visitor. Our model, meanwhile, looks past the winner market entirely and leans toward goals: Over 3.0 goals at 2.01 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 47%. Notably, that recommendation shows a negative value edge of -5.6%, so it registers as a lean rather than a standout price. Treat the numbers as a guide and stake within your usual bankroll limits.

Verdict:

Upcoming MLS fixtures

All MLS tips →

Kick-off (UTC)	Match	1	X	2
8 Aug 20:30	New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo	2.55	3.86	2.82
15 Aug 23:30	Orlando City SC v FC Cincinnati	2.33	4.56	2.75
15 Aug 23:30	CF Montreal v D.C. United	2.25	3.97	3.20
15 Aug 23:30	Toronto FC v New England Revolution	2.35	3.96	3.05
15 Aug 23:30	Charlotte FC v Columbus Crew SC	2.17	4.04	3.35
15 Aug 23:30	Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls	1.83	4.55	3.95
16 Aug 00:30	Nashville SC v Inter Miami CF	2.15	4.28	3.10
16 Aug 00:30	Houston Dynamo v LA Galaxy	1.74	4.44	4.75

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Match FAQ

What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?+

Our tip is Over 3.0 goals at odds of 2.03, with a 46% confidence rating.

When does the match kick off?+

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union takes place Sun · 22:00 in the MLS.