MLS · Sun · 00:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Nashville SC at 2.19 (about 46% implied) are the market's favourite over Inter Miami CF at 3.1 (about 32%).
The gap between the two sides is modest, roughly 14 percentage points in implied probability, pointing to a competitive fixture rather than a mismatch.
The draw is priced at 4.0, around 25% implied, so a stalemate is considered less likely than either team winning.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals bet at 2.62 carries a negative value edge of -7.07%, indicating the price is below the model's fair estimate.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami CF | 3.10 | LeoVegas (SE) | 32.3% |
| Nashville SC | 2.15 | Marathon Bet | 46.5% |
| Draw | 4.28 | 1xBet | 23.4% |
This MLS meeting sends Nashville SC out as the home favourite against Inter Miami CF, and the market makes that lean fairly clear. Nashville are priced at 2.19, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 46%, while Inter Miami sit at 3.1, or about 32% in probability terms. The draw is a longer call at 4.0, around 25% implied, so bookmakers are not expecting a stalemate but won't rule it out. Rather than backing a side, our model steers toward the total: Under 2.5 goals at 2.62 with William Hill, a pick carried at 35% market-implied confidence. It is worth noting the value edge here reads negative at -7.07%, meaning the price offered sits below what our model considers fair. In short, the odds frame a moderate home favourite, a live underdog, and a goals market our model finds interesting but not clearly profitable at the current number.
Verdict: The model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at 2.62, backed by 35% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -7.07%, so the offered price undershoots fair value. Treat this as a modest-confidence total rather than a strong edge, and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 20:30 | New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo | 2.55 | 3.86 | 2.82 |
| 15 Aug 23:30 | Orlando City SC v FC Cincinnati | 2.33 | 4.56 | 2.75 |
| 15 Aug 23:30 | CF Montreal v D.C. United | 2.25 | 3.97 | 3.20 |
| 15 Aug 23:30 | Toronto FC v New England Revolution | 2.35 | 3.96 | 3.05 |
| 15 Aug 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Columbus Crew SC | 2.17 | 4.04 | 3.35 |
| 15 Aug 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls | 1.83 | 4.55 | 3.95 |
| 16 Aug 00:30 | Houston Dynamo v LA Galaxy | 1.74 | 4.44 | 4.75 |
| 16 Aug 01:30 | Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City | 1.41 | 5.71 | 7.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.46, with a 65% confidence rating.
Nashville SC are the favourite at 2.19, implying about a 46% chance. Inter Miami CF are priced at 3.1, roughly 32% in probability terms.
The draw is best priced at 4.0 with Coolbet, which implies around a 25% chance. That makes it the least likely of the three match-result outcomes.
No value pick cleared the threshold here. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 2.62 actually shows a negative value edge of -7.07%, meaning the price is below the model's fair estimate.
Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF takes place Sun · 00:30 in the MLS.
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