La Liga 2 · Sat · 19:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Mallorca at 1.73 are the market favourites, with the price implying about a 58% win probability.
Real Valladolid CF are outsiders at 5.35, equating to roughly a 19% implied chance of an away win.
The draw is priced at 3.68, or around 27% implied probability, a fairly standard number for a match with a clear favourite.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.04 shows a slightly negative value edge of -1.62%, so it falls just under the threshold on pure numbers.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 1.73 | 1xBet | 57.8% |
| Real Valladolid CF | 5.25 | 1xBet | 19.0% |
| Draw | 3.66 | 1xBet | 27.3% |
Mallorca host Real Valladolid CF in this La Liga 2 fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. At a best price of 1.73, Mallorca are priced as clear home favourites, with that number implying roughly a 58% chance of the win. Real Valladolid, meanwhile, drift out to 5.35 with 1xBet, translating to about an 19% implied probability, while the draw sits at 3.68, or close to 27%. That is a sizeable gap between the two sides in the eyes of the bookmakers. Rather than backing the match result, our model looks toward the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 2.04. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 48%, though it is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative at -1.62%, meaning it sits just below true value on the numbers alone.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 2.04, reflecting a near coin-flip market view at around 48% confidence. With a marginally negative value edge, this is not a standout number, so treat it as a modest-interest angle rather than a strong signal and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 18:30 | Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón | 4.22 | 4.17 | 1.81 |
| 15 Aug 15:00 | Andorra CF v AD Ceuta FC | 1.62 | 4.15 | 5.15 |
| 15 Aug 17:00 | Oviedo v Granada CF | 1.76 | 3.83 | 4.73 |
| 15 Aug 17:00 | Cádiz CF v Celta Vigo | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| 16 Aug 15:00 | SD Eibar v Tenerife | 1.82 | 3.58 | 4.90 |
| 16 Aug 17:00 | Girona FC v Leganés | 1.65 | 3.88 | 5.65 |
| 16 Aug 17:00 | Burgos CF v Córdoba | 2.34 | 3.33 | 3.23 |
| 16 Aug 19:30 | Las Palmas v Albacete | 1.69 | 3.95 | 5.09 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.04, with a 48% confidence rating.
Mallorca are the favourites at a best price of 1.73, which implies roughly a 58% chance of a home win. Real Valladolid CF are the outsiders at 5.35, around 19% implied.
The draw is available at 3.68 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of about 27%.
Based on the data, no value pick cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.04 actually carries a slightly negative value edge of -1.62%, so it is a marginal angle rather than a clear value bet.
Mallorca vs Real Valladolid CF takes place Sat · 19:30 in the La Liga 2.
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