English ⚽ Ligue 1 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Le Havre to win
Odds
3.64
LostResult
0-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
30%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Monaco are favourites at 2.06 (about 49% implied), but that is far from a commanding price for an away side.
02
Le Havre at 3.64 carry a market-implied chance near 27%, yet our model puts their fair probability at 30%.
03
That gap produces an estimated value edge of 8.93% on the Le Havre win, the standout pick against market consensus.
04
The draw is the longest option at 4.01 (roughly 25% implied), reflecting expectations of a decisive result rather than a stalemate.
Team form
LH Le Havre LDLDL
19 Sept 26 @ Toulouse 2-3
12 Sept 26 vs Angers SCO 0-0
5 Sept 26 vs Brest 1-2
29 Aug 26 @ Olympique Lyon 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Monaco 0-1
AM AS Monaco WDWWW
18 Sept 26 vs RC Lens 2-1
12 Sept 26 @ Strasbourg 1-1
4 Sept 26 @ PSG 2-1
30 Aug 26 vs Marseille 2-0
23 Aug 26 @ Le Havre 1-0
Head-to-head: Le Havre v AS Monaco
Full H2H history → L 23 Aug 26
Le Havre 0-1 MonacoLigue 1
D 24 Jan 26
Le Havre 0-0 MonacoLigue 1
L 16 Aug 25
Monaco 3-1 Le HavreLigue 1
W/D/L shown from Le Havre's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Le Havre vs AS Monaco: pre-match preview
Le Havre host AS Monaco in this Ligue 1 fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Monaco are priced at 2.06 with Betfair, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 49%, marking them as clear favourites on the road. Le Havre are the outsiders at 3.64 with 1xBet, implying around 27% before adjustment, while the draw sits at 4.01, or about 25%. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers expect Monaco to control, though not to dominate outright given the away side rarely commands short prices. Our model, however, sees the home price as generous: it rates Le Havre's fair chance at 30%, higher than the market suggests, which is where our recommended bet comes in. The value lies with the underdog rather than the favourite here, and the preview below breaks down exactly why the pricing caught our attention.
Verdict: The recommended play is Le Havre to win at 3.64 with 1xBet, backed by an 8.93% value edge over the market's price. As a 30%-probability underdog bet, it will lose more often than it lands, so treat it as a value-driven selection and stake within a sensible bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 23 Aug 26
Over 1.5 goalsfinal score 0-1
1.76 -1.00u Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures
All Ligue 1 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | 7.40 | 5.50 | 1.46 |
| 9 Oct 18:45 | RC Lens v Lyon | 2.26 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 15:15 | Lille v Le Havre | 1.48 | 4.88 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | AS Monaco v Toulouse | 1.82 | 4.11 | 4.70 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Brest v Angers | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Lorient v Paris FC | 3.04 | 3.60 | 2.48 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC | 1.12 | 13.40 | 24.00 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Nice v Strasbourg | 2.29 | 3.72 | 3.23 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Ligue 1 standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Angers SCO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | PSG | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | RC Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Le Havre vs AS Monaco?+
Our tip was Le Havre to win at odds of 3.64.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).