Eliteserien · Sun · 17:15 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Molde are strong favourites at 1.78 (about 56% implied), well ahead of Kristiansund BK at 4.9 (about 20%).
The draw is priced at 3.83, implying roughly a 26% chance of the points being shared.
Our model rates Kristiansund BK's fair probability at 22% versus the market's 20%, giving a small positive value edge of 5.64% on the home win.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 2.38 carries a negative value edge of -4.68%, so the model likes the outcome without seeing clear price value.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK to win | 4.90 | +4.9% | 21% | 57 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK | 4.90 | Coolbet | 20.4% |
| Molde | 1.78 | GTbets | 56.2% |
| Draw | 3.90 | William Hill | 25.6% |
This Eliteserien meeting between Kristiansund BK and Molde sees the visitors installed as clear market favourites. Molde are priced at 1.78, which converts to an implied probability of around 56%, while home side Kristiansund BK sit out at 4.9, or roughly 20% in the market's eyes. The draw is available at 3.83, implying about 26%. In short, the odds paint a picture of a Molde side expected to control this fixture, with Kristiansund BK cast firmly in the underdog role. Our model's recommended bet, however, steps away from the match result and targets Under 2.5 goals at 2.38 with 1xBet, reflecting a market-implied confidence near 40%. It is worth noting the flagged value edge on this pick is slightly negative, so it is best viewed as a lean rather than a standout play. There is separate interest in Kristiansund BK's price, discussed below.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 2.38, aligned with a market-implied confidence around 40%. Be aware the flagged value edge is negative, making this a modest lean rather than a priced-in edge. Treat it as speculative and stake responsibly within your bankroll.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 17:00 | Sandefjord v KFUM | 2.11 | 3.75 | 3.63 |
| 8 Aug 12:00 | Vålerenga v Bodø/Glimt | 6.60 | 5.17 | 1.48 |
| 8 Aug 14:00 | Viking FK v Sarpsborg FK | 1.38 | 5.63 | 7.60 |
| 8 Aug 16:00 | IK Start v Fredrikstad FK | 2.33 | 3.55 | 3.21 |
| 9 Aug 12:30 | Lillestrom v Rosenborg | 2.48 | 3.64 | 2.89 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | HamKam v Aalesund | 2.18 | 3.85 | 3.37 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.38, with a 40% confidence rating.
Molde are the favourites at 1.78, implying roughly a 56% chance. Kristiansund BK are the outsiders at 4.9, around 20% implied.
The draw is priced at 3.83 with 1xBet, which implies approximately a 26% probability of a stalemate.
Our model flags Kristiansund BK at 4.9 as offering a small positive edge of 5.64%, with a fair probability of 22% against the market's 20%. The recommended Under 2.5 goals pick, by contrast, shows a negative edge of -4.68%.
Kristiansund BK vs Molde takes place Sun · 17:15 in the Eliteserien.
English 
Español 
Português 
Deutsch 
Français