Scottish Premiership · Sun · 12:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Celtic's 1.43 price implies roughly a 70% chance of victory, marking them as heavy favourites.
Kilmarnock at 7.75 are given only around a 13% implied probability of a home win.
The draw at 5.1 translates to about a 20% chance, a distant second option behind a Celtic win.
The recommended Over 3.25 goals pick carries a negative value edge of -4.09%, so it does not clear the value threshold.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 5.60 | +7.2% | 19% | 57 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.43 | Betsson | 69.9% |
| Kilmarnock | 7.40 | Betfair | 13.5% |
| Draw | 5.60 | Betfair | 17.9% |
This Scottish Premiership meeting sees Celtic travel to Kilmarnock as clear favourites in the eyes of the market. At a best price of 1.43, Celtic are priced at roughly a 70% chance of taking all three points, a strong endorsement from bookmakers. Kilmarnock, by contrast, are out at 7.75, implying only around a 13% chance of a home win, while the draw sits at 5.1, or close to 20% in probability terms. The gap between the two sides is substantial and reflected clearly in these odds. Our model's attention turns away from the result and toward the goals market: Over 3.25 goals is available at 1.98 with Pinnacle, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 48%. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative at -4.09%, so this is flagged as an interest pick rather than a strong value play in the Kilmarnock versus Celtic clash.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 3.25 goals at 1.98, roughly a coin-flip proposition at 48% implied confidence. With a negative value edge of -4.09%, this is a modest-interest angle rather than a standout bet. Treat it cautiously and stake within your normal bankroll limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 14:00 | Dundee FC v Aberdeen | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.66 |
| 8 Aug 14:00 | St Mirren v St Johnstone | 2.38 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Hearts v Dundee United | 1.62 | 4.30 | 5.90 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Motherwell v Falkirk F.C. | 1.82 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | Rangers v Hibernian | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.25 goals at odds of 1.88, with a 51% confidence rating.
Celtic are the clear favourites at 1.43, which implies about a 70% chance of winning. Kilmarnock are outsiders at 7.75.
The draw is priced at 5.1 with Unibet (FR), equating to an implied probability of around 20%.
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 3.25 goals bet at 1.98 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.09%, so it is an interest angle rather than a strong value play.
Kilmarnock vs Celtic takes place Sun · 12:30 in the Scottish Premiership.
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