Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Trabzonspor are the market favourites at 2.18 (about 46% implied), ahead of Kasimpasa SK at 3.41 (roughly 29%).
The draw is priced at 3.75, implying near 27%, keeping a share of three outcomes in play.
Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.92 with around 51% implied confidence, but the value edge is negative at -2.77%.
The draw shows a positive value edge of 6.91%, with a fair probability estimate of 29% against the 3.75 price.
Team form
Head-to-head: Kasimpasa SK v Trabzonspor
W/D/L shown from Kasimpasa SK's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Kasimpasa SK vs Trabzonspor: pre-match preview
This Süper Lig meeting sends Trabzonspor to Kasimpasa SK as the clearer favourite in the eyes of the market. Trabzonspor are priced at 2.18, which implies roughly a 46% chance of a win, while home side Kasimpasa SK sit at 3.41, or about 29% in probability terms. The draw is offered at 3.75, close to a 27% implied likelihood. So the market leans towards the visitors without treating them as overwhelming favourites, and a stalemate remains a live possibility. Our model does not chase the match result here; instead it looks at goals, with Over 2.5 goals available at 1.92 and a market-implied confidence around 51%. That said, the value edge on the Over is negative at -2.77%, so it is more of a lean than a standout price. The one flagged value angle is on the draw, priced at 3.75 against a fair probability estimate of 29%.
Verdict: The recommended lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.92, backed by roughly 51% model confidence but carrying a slightly negative value edge, so treat it as marginal rather than strong. The draw at 3.75 offers the only flagged positive edge. Stake responsibly and size accordingly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Süper Lig fixtures
All Süper Lig tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:00 | Amed SK v Besiktas JK | 1.01 | 80.00 | 300.00 |
| 20 Sept 17:01 | Goztepe v Çaykur Rizespor | 250.00 | 12.75 | 5.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Trabzonspor to win at odds of 2.18.
Trabzonspor are the favourites at 2.18, implying about a 46% win chance. Kasimpasa SK are priced at 3.41, roughly 29%.
The best available draw price is 3.75 at Coolbet, which implies around a 27% chance. Our model rates its fair probability near 29%, giving a positive value edge of about 6.91%.
The flagged value pick is the draw at 3.75, with a 6.91% edge over its estimated fair probability. The Over 2.5 goals lean at 1.92 has a negative edge of -2.77%, so it is marginal at best.
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).