Greek Super League · Sat · 17:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Aris Thessaloniki are the favourites at 2.08, an implied probability near 48%, but that is well short of a commanding price.
Kalamata FC are outsiders at 3.92 (about 26% implied), leaving a clear gap of nearly 1.84 in decimal odds between the two teams.
The draw is priced at 3.25, around 31% implied, reflecting a realistic chance of honours being shared.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 shows a value edge of -5.88%, meaning the model sees no genuine market-beating edge here.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessaloniki | 2.08 | Coolbet | 48.1% |
| Kalamata FC | 4.04 | 1xBet | 24.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | Coolbet | 30.8% |
This Greek Super League fixture sees Aris Thessaloniki travel to face Kalamata FC, with the market clearly favouring the visitors. Aris are priced at 2.08 with Coolbet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 48%, making them the side the bookmakers expect to come out on top. Kalamata FC sit as underdogs at 3.92 (1xBet), implying about a 26% chance, while the draw is available at 3.25 (Coolbet), or around 31% in probability terms. Those numbers point to a favourite that is respected but far from dominant, leaving room for a competitive contest. Rather than the match result, our model looks to the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 with 1xBet. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 40%. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative, so this is a lean rather than a standout opportunity in the numbers.
Verdict: The model's lean is Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 (1xBet), reflecting roughly 40% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -5.88%, so this is a low-conviction call rather than a strong edge. Treat it accordingly and stake within your usual bankroll limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 17:00 | AEK Athens v Iraklis FC | 1.18 | 6.40 | 15.00 |
| 22 Aug 19:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Atromitos Athens | 1.23 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| 23 Aug 16:30 | OFI Crete v Volos FC | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia FC | 1.26 | 5.50 | 15.00 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos | 1.30 | 5.25 | 12.00 |
| 23 Aug 18:30 | Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis | 2.62 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.31, with a 41% confidence rating.
Aris Thessaloniki are the favourites at 2.08 with Coolbet, an implied probability of about 48%. Kalamata FC are the underdogs at 3.92.
The draw is priced at 3.25 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 31% chance of the match ending level.
According to our model, no value pick cleared the threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 actually carries a negative value edge of -5.88%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet.
Kalamata FC vs Aris Thessaloniki takes place Sat · 17:00 in the Greek Super League.
English 
Español 
Português 
Deutsch 
Français