English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 20 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.19
WonResult
2-0Final score
+1.19uProfit
52%Pre-match conf.
+4.29%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Juventus are priced at 1.7, implying roughly a 59 percent win probability and clear market favouritism.
02
Atalanta's 5.36 price implies about 19 percent, while the model's fair probability of 22 percent produces a 17.78 percent edge, the largest value gap in the match.
03
The draw at 4.29 implies around 23 percent, but the model's fair 26 percent probability gives it a 10.23 percent edge, making it a notable secondary value angle.
04
The Under 2.5 goals selection at 2.19 carries 52 percent implied confidence and a 13.55 percent edge, the recommended play for this fixture.
Team form
JUV Juventus WLDWW
20 Sept 26 vs Atalanta 2-0
13 Sept 26 @ Sassuolo 2-3
6 Sept 26 vs Milan 1-1
29 Aug 26 vs Parma 2-0
23 Aug 26 @ Frosinone 1-0
AB Atalanta BC LLLWW
20 Sept 26 @ Juventus 0-2
12 Sept 26 vs Cagliari 1-2
5 Sept 26 @ Roma 1-2
31 Aug 26 vs Bologna 1-0
23 Aug 26 vs Sassuolo 2-1
Head-to-head: Juventus v Atalanta BC
Full H2H history → W 20 Sept 26
Juventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
W 11 Apr 26
Atalanta 0-1 JuventusSerie A
D 27 Sept 25
Juventus 1-1 AtalantaSerie A
W/D/L shown from Juventus's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Juventus vs Atalanta BC: pre-match preview
Juventus host Atalanta BC in Serie A with the bookmakers firmly on the side of the home team. At a best price of 1.7, Juventus carry an implied win probability of roughly 59 percent, making them clear favourites over Atalanta, priced at 5.36 (an implied chance of about 19 percent), and the draw, available at 4.29 (around 23 percent implied). Those numbers point to a match the market expects Juventus to control, though the gap between market price and modelled fair value suggests some of that Juventus strength may be overstated. Away from the win market, our model highlights value on the goals market, recommending Under 2.5 goals at 2.19, a selection with 52 percent implied confidence and a 13.55 percent edge versus the market's pricing, suggesting a cautious, low-scoring script for this Serie A clash.
Verdict: The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 2.19 offers a moderate, data-backed edge (13.55 percent) with just over a coin-flip implied confidence at 52 percent. It is a reasonable, measured pick rather than a high-certainty one, and stakes should reflect that balanced risk profile.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.19 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta BC?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.19.
Who is favourite between Juventus and Atalanta?+
Juventus are the clear favourites at odds of 1.7, implying roughly a 59 percent chance of victory, compared with Atalanta's 5.36 price implying about 19 percent.
What is the draw priced at in this Serie A match?+
The draw is available at 4.29, implying around a 23 percent probability, with the model's fair value estimate slightly higher at 26 percent.
Is there value in this Juventus vs Atalanta match according to the odds?+
Yes, the model flags value on both Atalanta (17.78 percent edge) and the draw (10.23 percent edge), while its top overall recommendation is Under 2.5 goals at 2.19 with a 13.55 percent edge.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-0 (+1.19u at flat stakes).