Greek Super League · Sun · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Iraklis are the nominal favourites at 2.47, implying roughly a 40% chance of victory, ahead of Levadiakos at 2.90 (about 34%).
The draw is priced at 3.30, implying close to 30%, keeping the three-way market fairly tight overall.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.05 carries an implied probability near 49%, slightly above the model's own 46% confidence.
No selections across the match-result or goals markets clear the site's value threshold, with the Over 2.5 pick showing a negative edge of -5.59%.
| Bookmaker | 1 · IF | X | 2 · LEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.85 |
| Betsson | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.88 |
| 888sport | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Iraklis FC host Levadiakos in a Greek Super League clash where the bookmakers give a modest edge to the home side. The best price on Iraklis, 2.47 with 1xBet, implies a win probability of roughly 40%, while Levadiakos at 2.90 with Betsson points to about 34%. The draw, priced at 3.30 with 1xBet, sits close behind at around 30%, showing the market sees this as a fairly open contest rather than a one-sided affair. Away from the match-result market, the model's attention turns to goals, flagging Over 2.5 at 2.05 with Betsson. That price implies just under 49% probability, but the model's own confidence reads 46%, producing a negative value edge of about -5.6%. In other words, this is a highlighted selection rather than a market-beating value pick, and bettors should weigh that distinction before staking.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 2.05, but its own confidence figure sits below the price's implied probability, giving a negative value edge. This is a moderate-risk lean rather than a clear market inefficiency, and it should be sized cautiously within a balanced bankroll approach.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki | 170.00 | 29.00 | 1.03 |
| 10 Oct 15:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FC | 1.25 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | AEK Athens v OFI Crete | 1.20 | 6.10 | 14.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens | 2.45 | 3.16 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC | 1.77 | 3.60 | 5.15 |
| 11 Oct 18:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.39 |
| 17 Oct 14:00 | Levadiakos v Volos FC | 2.11 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.05, with a 46% confidence rating.
Iraklis are the market favourites, priced at 2.47 for a win compared with 2.90 for Levadiakos, implying win probabilities of about 40% and 34% respectively.
The draw is available at 3.30, which implies roughly a 30% chance, keeping it competitive with both teams' win prices.
No selection meets the site's value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.05 actually carries a negative edge of about -5.59%, meaning the market price is slightly less generous than the model's 46% confidence suggests.
Iraklis FC vs Levadiakos takes place Sun · 14:00 in the Greek Super League.
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