Eliteserien · Sat · 16:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
IK Start are the favourites at 2.33 (about 43% implied), ahead of Fredrikstad FK at 3.2 (roughly 31%).
The draw is priced at 3.45, near 29% implied, underlining a reasonably balanced market rather than a heavy mismatch.
The gap between the two teams is fairly narrow, with only around 12 percentage points separating home and away implied probabilities.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.81 shows a negative value edge of -3.65%, so it is a lean rather than a clear market-beating price.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad FK | 3.21 | Pinnacle | 31.2% |
| IK Start | 2.33 | Coolbet | 42.9% |
| Draw | 3.55 | Betfair | 28.2% |
IK Start host Fredrikstad FK in the Eliteserien, and the market leans modestly toward the home side. IK Start are priced at 2.33 with Coolbet, translating to roughly a 43% implied chance, while Fredrikstad sit at 3.2 (about 31%) with Unibet. The draw is quoted at 3.45, or close to 29%. Those numbers describe a fixture the bookmakers see as competitive rather than one-sided, with IK Start given a clear but far from commanding edge. Our model looks past the match result and toward the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.81 with Coolbet. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 53%. Worth flagging honestly: the calculated value edge here is negative at -3.65%, so this is a lean on the goals angle rather than a spot where the odds sit clearly in your favour. Approach it as an informed view, and stake within a sensible bankroll.
Verdict: The pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.81, backed by roughly 53% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -3.65%, meaning the price does not clearly favour the bettor. Treat it as a modest lean on goals and keep stakes measured.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 17:00 | Sandefjord v KFUM | 2.11 | 3.75 | 3.63 |
| 8 Aug 12:00 | Vålerenga v Bodø/Glimt | 6.60 | 5.17 | 1.48 |
| 8 Aug 14:00 | Viking FK v Sarpsborg FK | 1.38 | 5.63 | 7.60 |
| 9 Aug 12:30 | Lillestrom v Rosenborg | 2.48 | 3.64 | 2.89 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | HamKam v Aalesund | 2.18 | 3.85 | 3.37 |
| 9 Aug 17:15 | Kristiansund BK v Molde | 4.90 | 3.90 | 1.78 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81, with a 53% confidence rating.
IK Start are the favourites at 2.33 with Coolbet, implying about a 43% chance. Fredrikstad FK are priced at 3.2, around 31% implied.
The draw is quoted at 3.45 with Unibet (NL), which works out to roughly a 29% implied probability.
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.81 carries a negative value edge of -3.65%, so no pick cleared the value threshold. It is a lean based on model confidence rather than a clear value spot.
IK Start vs Fredrikstad FK takes place Sat · 16:00 in the Eliteserien.
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