English ⚽ Allsvenskan 🕒 10 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
1.86
WonResult
2-2Final score
+0.86uProfit
63%Pre-match conf.
+35.77%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sirius at 1.35 are heavy favourites, with an implied probability near 74%, while Brommapojkarna at 8.5 sit around 12%.
02
The draw is priced at 5.3, roughly 19% implied, and our model assigns it a fair probability of 22%, giving a positive edge of 15.1%.
03
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.94 carries a market-implied confidence of about 49% but shows a negative value edge of -5.83%.
04
The wide price gap between home and away suggests the market sees a clear mismatch on paper.
Team form
IS IK Sirius WWWLL
19 Sept 26 @ Örgryte IS 2-1
14 Sept 26 vs Degerfors IF 2-0
5 Sept 26 @ Västerås SK 1-0
31 Aug 26 vs Malmo FF 0-1
21 Aug 26 vs BK Hacken 0-3
IB IF Brommapojkarna LLWLW
19 Sept 26 vs IFK Goteborg 0-1
13 Sept 26 @ Hammarby IF 1-3
6 Sept 26 vs IF Elfsborg 2-1
31 Aug 26 @ GAIS 0-4
23 Aug 26 vs Degerfors IF 2-0
Head-to-head: IK Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna
D 10 Aug 26
IK Sirius 2-2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
W/D/L shown from IK Sirius's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
IK Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna: pre-match preview
This Allsvenskan fixture sees IK Sirius host IF Brommapojkarna, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. Sirius are priced at 1.35, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 74%, marking them as strong home favourites. Brommapojkarna, by contrast, are out at 8.5 (around 12% implied), while the draw sits at 5.3, close to a 19% chance before any margin adjustment. The gap between the two sides is substantial in the bookmakers' eyes. Rather than backing the short-priced favourite, our model turns to the goals market, recommending Over 3.5 goals at 1.94. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 49%, though it is worth noting the model flags a negative value edge here. Elsewhere, the standout value signal from our figures points to the draw, which we cover in more detail below.
Verdict: The model's headline pick is Over 3.5 goals at 1.94, a high-scoring wager with roughly 49% implied confidence but a negative value edge, so treat it as speculative. The standout value signal is actually the draw at 5.3. Stake responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.86 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for IK Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna?+
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.86.
Who is the favourite for Sirius vs Brommapojkarna?+
IK Sirius are clear favourites at 1.35, an implied probability of about 74%. IF Brommapojkarna are outsiders at 8.5, around 12%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The best available draw price is 5.3 at Winamax (DE), implying roughly 19%. Our model rates its fair probability at 22%, giving a value edge of 15.1%.
Is there any value in this match?+
The strongest value signal in our data is the draw at 5.3, with a 15.1% edge. The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.94 actually shows a negative edge of -5.83%, so it is more of a speculative play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-2 (+0.86u at flat stakes).