Scottish Premiership · Sun · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Hearts at 1.5 imply about a 67% win probability, making them decisive favourites over Dundee United.
Dundee United at 6.75 are priced as clear outsiders, an implied chance of roughly 15%.
The draw at 4.4 sits around 23% implied probability, in line with a match featuring a strong favourite.
The recommended Under 2.75 goals bet at 1.88 shows a negative value edge of -4.04%, so it is a modest lean rather than a market-beating price.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United | 5.90 | Betsson | 16.9% |
| Hearts | 1.62 | Betfair | 61.7% |
| Draw | 4.30 | Coolbet | 23.3% |
Hearts host Dundee United in the Scottish Premiership, and the market leaves little doubt about which way it leans. Hearts are priced at 1.5 with Pinnacle, an implied probability of roughly 67%, marking them as clear favourites on their own patch. Dundee United sit out at 6.75 with Coolbet, translating to around a 15% chance, while the draw is available at 4.4, or about 23% implied. The gap between the two sides is substantial, reflecting a market that expects Hearts to control this contest. Our model does not flag a value pick on the match result; instead it looks at the goals market, recommending Under 2.75 goals at 1.88 with Pinnacle. That carries an implied confidence near 51%, though the value edge is negative at -4.04%, so it is a lean rather than a strong edge. As always, treat these prices as probabilities, not certainties, and stake responsibly.
Verdict: The model points to Under 2.75 goals at 1.88, near a coin-flip at 51% implied confidence. With a negative value edge of -4.04%, this is a cautious lean rather than a standout price, so keep stakes measured and view it as a low-conviction angle.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 14:00 | Dundee FC v Aberdeen | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.66 |
| 8 Aug 14:00 | St Mirren v St Johnstone | 2.38 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| 9 Aug 12:30 | Kilmarnock v Celtic | 7.40 | 5.60 | 1.43 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Motherwell v Falkirk F.C. | 1.82 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | Rangers v Hibernian | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.75 goals at odds of 1.92, with a 50% confidence rating.
Hearts are the clear favourites at 1.5 with Pinnacle, an implied probability of around 67%. Dundee United are outsiders at 6.75.
The draw is priced at 4.4 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 23% chance of the match ending level.
No match-result value pick cleared our threshold. The model's recommended Under 2.75 goals at 1.88 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.04%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet.
Hearts vs Dundee United takes place Sun · 14:00 in the Scottish Premiership.
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