English ⚽ Austrian Bundesliga 🕒 8 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 1.25 goals
Odds
1.81
WonResult
0-2Final score
+0.81uProfit
61%Pre-match conf.
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sturm Graz are strong favourites at 1.68, implying roughly a 60% chance, well ahead of Hartberg at 5.3 (around 19%).
02
The draw is priced at 4.0, an implied probability of about 25%, underlining the market's clear lean towards the visitors.
03
The recommended Over 2.75 goals at 2.0 carries a market-implied confidence of about 48% but a negative value edge of -3.9%.
04
No selections cleared our value threshold against market consensus, so there is no standout edge in the result market here.
Team form
HAR Hartberg DDWWL
20 Sept 26 vs LASK 3-3
13 Sept 26 @ WSG Tirol 2-2
30 Aug 26 vs Ried 3-2
22 Aug 26 @ Rheindorf Altach 2-1
16 Aug 26 vs Austria Wien 0-2
SG Sturm Graz LWLDW
20 Sept 26 @ RB Salzburg 0-3
13 Sept 26 vs LASK 2-1
30 Aug 26 @ Rapid Wien 1-3
22 Aug 26 vs Austria Lustenau 1-1
15 Aug 26 vs Rheindorf Altach 1-0
Head-to-head: Hartberg v Sturm Graz
L 8 Aug 26
Hartberg 0-2 Sturm GrazAustrian Bundesliga
W/D/L shown from Hartberg's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz: pre-match preview
The Austrian Bundesliga meeting between Hartberg and Sturm Graz sees the visitors installed as clear favourites. Sturm Graz are priced at 1.68 with Nordic Bet, which translates to a market-implied probability of around 60%, while Hartberg are much longer at 5.3 (roughly 19%). The draw sits at 4.0, implying about 25%, reflecting a match where the market leans firmly towards one side rather than a tight contest. Rather than backing the result, our model looks at the goals market and recommends Over 2.75 goals at 2.0 with BetOnline.ag, carrying a market-implied confidence near 48%. Notably, the value edge on that selection is slightly negative at -3.9%, meaning the price offers no clear edge over the implied probability. With no value picks clearing our threshold in the match-result market, this is a fixture where the favourite is respected but the numbers advise caution.
Verdict: The model points to Over 2.75 goals at 2.0, a roughly coin-flip proposition with market-implied confidence near 48%. Be aware the value edge is negative at -3.9%, so this is a marginal call rather than a priced advantage. Treat it as a modest-risk lean and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.81 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?+
Our tip was Over 1.25 goals at odds of 1.81.
Who is the favourite for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?+
Sturm Graz are the favourites at 1.68, implying about a 60% chance. Hartberg are the outsiders at 5.3, roughly 19% implied.
What are the odds for a draw?+
The draw is available at 4.0, which corresponds to an implied probability of around 25%.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
No selections cleared our value threshold, and the recommended Over 2.75 goals at 2.0 actually shows a slightly negative edge of -3.9%, so there is no clear value here.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-2 (+0.81u at flat stakes).