English ⚽ Austrian Bundesliga 🕒 20 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.68
LostResult
3-3Final score
-1.00uProfit
61%Pre-match conf.
-1.18%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
LASK's 1.5 price implies roughly a 67% win probability, making them strong favourites over Hartberg on paper
02
Hartberg's 5.8 price implies just under 17%, one of the widest gaps in the three-way market for this fixture
03
The draw at 4.4 sits between the two win prices, implying around 23%, a live but secondary outcome according to the market
04
The Over 3.5 goals recommendation carries a negative value edge of -5.77%, meaning the model's own estimate is slightly below the bookmaker's implied probability of about 47%
Team form
HAR Hartberg DDWWL
20 Sept 26 vs LASK 3-3
13 Sept 26 @ WSG Tirol 2-2
30 Aug 26 vs Ried 3-2
22 Aug 26 @ Rheindorf Altach 2-1
16 Aug 26 vs Austria Wien 0-2
LAS LASK DLWWW
20 Sept 26 @ Hartberg 3-3
13 Sept 26 @ Sturm Graz 1-2
1 Sept 26 @ Wolfsberger AC 3-1
14 Aug 26 vs Ried 4-1
9 Aug 26 @ Austria Wien 2-0
Head-to-head: Hartberg v LASK
D 20 Sept 26
Hartberg 3-3 LASKAustrian Bundesliga
W/D/L shown from Hartberg's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Hartberg vs LASK: pre-match preview
LASK head to Hartberg as clear favourites in this Austrian Bundesliga clash, with the market pricing them at 1.5 for the win, which works out to an implied probability of roughly 67%. Hartberg's price of 5.8 implies just under 17% for a home win, while the draw at 4.4 sits at around 23%, a gap that reflects a fairly one-sided market view of this fixture. Rather than backing the match result outright, our model points toward the goals market, flagging Over 3.5 goals at 2.13 as the recommended angle. That price implies a bookmaker probability near 47%, against a model confidence of 44%, so the numbers suggest this is a marginal call rather than a standout opportunity. Bettors weighing up Hartberg vs LASK should treat the scoreline pricing as the headline story, with the goals total offering a secondary, higher-variance route into the game.
Verdict: The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.13 reflects a close-to-fair market price rather than a strong edge, given the negative value gap and 44% model confidence. It is a plausible angle given LASK's status as heavy favourites, but bettors should size stakes cautiously given the marginal numbers.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Hartberg vs LASK?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.68.
Who is favourite in the Hartberg vs LASK match?+
LASK are strongly favoured by the market, priced at 1.5 for the win compared to 5.8 for Hartberg, implying win probabilities of roughly 67% and 17% respectively.
What is the draw priced at for Hartberg vs LASK?+
The draw is priced at 4.4, which implies an approximate 23% probability, sitting between the two teams' win chances in this Austrian Bundesliga fixture.
Is there value in betting on this fixture?+
According to the data, no match-result selections cleared the value threshold. The model's recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.13 actually carries a slightly negative edge of -5.77%, so it should be viewed as a moderate rather than a strong-value pick.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).