Allsvenskan · Sun · 12:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Hammarby IF are strong favourites at 1.56, implying about a 64% chance, with BK Hacken well behind at 5.6 (around 18%).
The draw is priced at 4.83 (roughly 21% implied), a typical figure for a match with a clear favourite.
The recommended Under 3.5 goals at 1.88 sits at about 51% implied confidence but shows a negative value edge of -4.04%.
BK Hacken are the only listed value angle, with a fair probability of 19% against their best price of 5.6, an edge of 3.75%.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 5.30 | +4.8% | 20% | 56 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| BK Hacken | 7.00 | Unibet (SE) | 14.3% |
| Hammarby IF | 1.55 | GTbets | 64.5% |
| Draw | 5.30 | Unibet (SE) | 18.9% |
Hammarby IF host BK Hacken in this Allsvenskan fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Hammarby are priced at 1.56 with Unibet (SE), which implies a win probability of roughly 64%, marking them as clear home favourites. BK Hacken are the outsiders at a generous 5.6, translating to about 18% in implied terms, while the draw sits at 4.83 with Pinnacle, worth around 21%. Our model's recommended bet here is not on the outright result but on the goals market: Under 3.5 goals at 1.88 with Pinnacle, carrying a market-implied confidence near 51%. It is worth noting this pick shows a slightly negative value edge of -4.04%, so it leans more on the expectation of a contained scoreline than on obvious pricing value. The one spot flagged as offering an edge is BK Hacken at 5.6.
Verdict: The model's recommended play is Under 3.5 goals at 1.88, a near coin-flip proposition at roughly 51% implied confidence. Be aware it carries a slightly negative value edge, so treat it as a modest lean rather than a standout price. Stake responsibly and within your means.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 13:00 | Örgryte IS v AIK | 3.34 | 3.80 | 2.23 |
| 8 Aug 15:30 | Mjällby AIF v IF Elfsborg | 2.44 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| 9 Aug 12:00 | Malmo FF v Degerfors IF | 1.55 | 5.10 | 8.00 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | Halmstads BK v GAIS | 5.40 | 4.10 | 1.71 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FF | 2.32 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| 10 Aug 17:00 | IK Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna | 1.34 | 6.25 | 10.06 |
| 10 Aug 17:00 | Västerås SK v Djurgardens IF | 4.40 | 4.15 | 1.89 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.92, with a 51% confidence rating.
Hammarby IF are the favourites at 1.56 with Unibet (SE), implying about a 64% win probability. BK Hacken are the outsiders at 5.6, around 18%.
The draw is priced at 4.83 with Pinnacle, which corresponds to an implied probability of roughly 21%.
The recommended Under 3.5 goals at 1.88 actually shows a negative edge of -4.04%. The one flagged value angle is BK Hacken at 5.6, with a fair probability of 19% and an edge of 3.75%.
Hammarby IF vs BK Hacken takes place Sun · 12:00 in the Allsvenskan.
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