English ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 9 Aug 2026
Our tip
HamKam to win
Odds
2.17
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
52%Pre-match conf.
+1.4%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
HamKam are favoured at 2.18 (about 46% implied), with Aalesund the outsiders at 3.37 (roughly 30%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.85, implying around a 26% chance of the points being shared.
03
The recommended Under 2.5 goals bet at 2.48 carries a market-implied confidence near 39%.
04
No value picks cleared our threshold, and the Under 2.5 selection shows a negative edge of -4.24%, so it is a model lean rather than a priced-in advantage.
Team form
HAM HamKam LLLDL
20 Sept 26 @ Tromso 2-3
13 Sept 26 vs Molde 1-5
5 Sept 26 @ Rosenborg 0-4
30 Aug 26 vs Kristiansund BK 2-2
16 Aug 26 @ SK Brann 0-3
AAL Aalesund WLWLD
19 Sept 26 @ Molde 2-1
13 Sept 26 @ KFUM 1-2
4 Sept 26 vs IK Start 2-0
30 Aug 26 @ Viking FK 1-2
16 Aug 26 vs Vålerenga 5-5
Head-to-head: HamKam v Aalesund
D 9 Aug 26
HamKam 1-1 AalesundEliteserien
W/D/L shown from HamKam's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
HamKam vs Aalesund: pre-match preview
HamKam host Aalesund in this Eliteserien fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it prefers. At best odds of 2.18, HamKam are the favourites, a price that implies roughly a 46% chance of a home win. Aalesund are the outsiders at 3.37, translating to about 30% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 3.85, or around 26%. Those figures point to a contest the market sees as tilted toward HamKam without being a foregone conclusion. Our model's attention falls not on the result but on the goal line: Under 2.5 goals is the recommended angle at 2.48 with Nordic Bet, reflecting a market-implied confidence of around 39%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge here is negative at -4.24%, so this is a lean based on the model's read of a lower-scoring game rather than a clear pricing advantage.
Verdict: The suggested play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.48, reflecting the model's view of a lower-scoring match. With a negative value edge of -4.24% and confidence near 39%, this is a modest lean rather than a strong signal. Treat it accordingly and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 9 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 1-1
1.79 +0.79u Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for HamKam vs Aalesund?+
Our tip was HamKam to win at odds of 2.17.
Who is the favourite for HamKam vs Aalesund?+
HamKam are the market favourites at 2.18, implying roughly a 46% chance of a home win. Aalesund are priced at 3.37, around 30% in probability terms.
What are the draw odds for this Eliteserien match?+
The draw is available at 3.85 with Coolbet, which implies approximately a 26% chance of the game ending level.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals bet at 2.48 actually shows a negative edge of -4.24%, so it is a model lean rather than a clear value spot.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).