English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 20 Sept 2026
Our tip
Palmeiras to win
Odds
2.22
LostResult
0-0Final score
-1.00uProfit
46%Pre-match conf.
+0.45%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Palmeiras are priced shortest at 2.22, implying close to a 45 percent chance of victory according to the market.
02
Grêmio's 3.4 price implies roughly 29 percent, positioning them as clear underdogs by market consensus.
03
The draw at 3.5 carries an implied probability of about 28.6 percent, keeping it a live outcome despite the favourite tag on Palmeiras.
04
The model's recommended Palmeiras bet shows a 3.19 percent value edge against the best available 2.22 price, a modest rather than substantial gap.
Team form
GRÊ Grêmio DLLLW
20 Sept 26 vs Palmeiras 0-0
16 Sept 26 @ Botafogo 2-3
12 Sept 26 vs Vasco da Gama 1-2
7 Sept 26 @ Vitória 0-1
30 Aug 26 vs Chapecoense 3-1
PAL Palmeiras DWDDW
20 Sept 26 @ Grêmio 0-0
12 Sept 26 vs São Paulo 2-0
6 Sept 26 @ Botafogo 0-0
30 Aug 26 @ Mirassol 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Vasco da Gama 4-1
Head-to-head: Grêmio v Palmeiras
Full H2H history → D 20 Sept 26
Grêmio 0-0 PalmeirasBrasileirão
L 3 Apr 26
Palmeiras 2-1 GrêmioBrasileirão
W 26 Nov 25
Grêmio 3-2 PalmeirasBrasileirão
L 27 Jul 25
Palmeiras 1-0 GrêmioBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Grêmio's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Grêmio vs Palmeiras: pre-match preview
Grêmio host Palmeiras in a Brasileirão fixture where the betting market leans clearly toward the visitors. Palmeiras are priced at 2.22 with the best odds found at 1xBet, which implies a win probability of roughly 45 percent, making them the clear favourites on paper. Grêmio, at 3.4 with Coolbet, are priced at closer to 29 percent, while the draw at 3.5 sits at about 28.6 percent, showing the bookmakers see this as a competitive but not evenly matched contest. Our model's recommended play is Palmeiras to win at 2.22, aligning with a market-implied confidence of 46 percent and showing a modest value edge of 3.19 percent against the posted price. No additional value picks emerged elsewhere in the market for this fixture, so the focus here stays on the away win as the standout angle from the numbers.
Verdict: Palmeiras to win at 2.22 is the model's pick, backed by a slight value edge of 3.19 percent and market-implied confidence near 46 percent. It is a reasonable, data-supported selection rather than a certainty, given the draw and Grêmio's odds both remain realistic outcomes.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Grêmio vs Palmeiras?+
Our tip was Palmeiras to win at odds of 2.22.
Who is the favourite between Grêmio and Palmeiras?+
Palmeiras are favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.22 which implies roughly a 45 percent chance of winning, compared to Grêmio's 3.4 price implying about 29 percent.
What is the draw priced at in this Brasileirão match?+
The draw is available at 3.5 with Coolbet, which implies an approximate 28.6 percent probability, keeping it a realistic outcome alongside the two team-win markets.
Is there value in backing Palmeiras to win this fixture?+
The model flags Palmeiras at 2.22 as showing a value edge of 3.19 percent against market-implied confidence of 46 percent, though this is a modest edge rather than a guaranteed advantage, and no other value picks were identified above threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).