Austrian Bundesliga · Sat · 15:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Grazer AK are the market favourites at 2.08 (about 48% implied), ahead of Austria Lustenau at 3.57 (roughly 28%).
The draw is priced at 3.5 (Tipico), around 29% implied, keeping a stalemate firmly in the picture.
The Over 2.5 goals recommendation at 1.98 carries an implied confidence near 48% but a negative value edge of -4.09%.
No value picks cleared our threshold against market consensus for this fixture.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Lustenau | 3.57 | Pinnacle | 28.0% |
| Grazer AK | 2.08 | Coolbet | 48.1% |
| Draw | 3.50 | Tipico | 28.6% |
This Austrian Bundesliga fixture sees Grazer AK host Austria Lustenau, and the market has a clear lean towards the home side. Grazer AK are priced at 2.08 with Coolbet, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 48%. Austria Lustenau, at 3.57 with Pinnacle, sit at around 28% in probability terms, while the draw is quoted at 3.5 (Tipico), close to 29%. That spread paints Grazer AK as moderate favourites rather than overwhelming ones, with both a Lustenau win and a stalemate treated as realistic outcomes. Our model instead focuses on the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 (Pinnacle) with market-implied confidence of about 48%. Notably, the calculated value edge is negative at -4.09%, meaning the price does not currently offer an edge over the market. It is a total-goals angle to consider, not a standout value play.
Verdict: The model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 1.98, essentially a coin-flip proposition on total goals. With a negative value edge of -4.09%, the price is not in your favour, so treat this as a modest-interest angle rather than a strong recommendation. Stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 17:30 | Rheindorf Altach v WSG Tirol | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| 8 Aug 17:30 | Hartberg v Sturm Graz | 5.30 | 4.00 | 1.68 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | Wolfsberger AC v RB Salzburg | 3.80 | 3.87 | 1.91 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | Ried v Rapid Wien | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.44 |
| 9 Aug 17:00 | Austria Wien v LASK | 3.70 | 3.67 | 2.05 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.98, with a 48% confidence rating.
Grazer AK are favourites at 2.08 with Coolbet, an implied probability of about 48%. Austria Lustenau are the outsiders at 3.57 (roughly 28%).
The draw is available at 3.5 with Tipico, which implies around a 29% chance of the match ending level.
No value picks cleared our threshold here. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.09%, so the market price offers no clear advantage.
Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau takes place Sat · 15:00 in the Austrian Bundesliga.
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