Liga Profesional · Tue · 00:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Gimnasia Mendoza and Talleres are quoted at exactly the same 1.04, meaning the market draws no separation between the two sides on price.
The draw is the shortest price at 1.01, implying roughly a 99 percent chance, which is far higher than the model's 34 percent confidence in that outcome.
The recommended draw pick carries a value edge of about minus 66 percent, indicating the price offers no value against the model's read.
The compressed odds across all three outcomes suggest an irregular or low-liquidity market rather than a strong directional signal.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 1.04 | Betfair | 96.2% |
| Talleres | 1.04 | Betfair | 96.2% |
| Draw | 1.01 | Betfair | 99.0% |
Gimnasia Mendoza host Talleres in the Liga Profesional, and the market presents one of the more unusual price structures you will encounter. Both teams to win are quoted identically at 1.04 with Betfair, while the draw is priced even shorter at 1.01. On the face of it, that pricing implies extremely high probabilities across every outcome, which is not how odds normally behave and typically points to an irregular or thinly traded market rather than a settled read on the contest. In implied terms the draw sits around 99 percent, with each side priced near 96 percent, figures that cannot coexist cleanly. Our model's recommended selection is the draw at 1.01, carrying a market-implied confidence of roughly 34 percent. Crucially, the value edge on that pick is deeply negative at about minus 66 percent, so there is no identified value here and the numbers warrant real caution before committing any stake.
Verdict: The model nominally points to the draw at 1.01, but with a value edge near minus 66 percent this is not a recommendation to bet with confidence. The odds structure looks irregular, offering no genuine value on any outcome. Treat this fixture with caution and stake responsibly, if at all.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Estudiantes | 2.16 | 3.10 | 4.34 |
| 6 Aug 00:15 | CA Tigre BA v Belgrano de Cordoba | 2.66 | 2.92 | 3.40 |
| 6 Aug 22:00 | Union Santa Fe v Lanus | 2.40 | 3.09 | 3.65 |
| 7 Aug 22:30 | Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata | 1.55 | 3.90 | 8.60 |
| 8 Aug 00:45 | Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.56 | 4.02 | 7.80 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.83 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes | 3.40 | 2.72 | 2.62 |
| 8 Aug 20:00 | CA Tigre BA v River Plate | 3.42 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Draw (X) at odds of 1.01, with a 34% confidence rating.
Neither side is favoured on price: both Gimnasia Mendoza and Talleres are quoted identically at 1.04 with Betfair, so the market separates them by nothing.
The draw is listed at 1.01 with Betfair, the shortest of the three prices, which implies a probability near 99 percent.
No value picks cleared our threshold. The recommended draw at 1.01 shows a value edge of about minus 66 percent, so the model sees no genuine edge here.
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Talleres takes place Tue · 00:30 in the Liga Profesional.
English 
Español 
Português 
Deutsch 
Français